The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: from 25 years of inaction to a global transformation for public health

被引:713
作者
Watts, Nick [1 ]
Amann, Markus [11 ,12 ]
Ayeb-Karlsson, Sonja [13 ]
Belesova, Kristine [15 ]
Bouley, Timothy [16 ]
Boykoff, Maxwell [17 ]
Byass, Peter [18 ]
Cai, Wenjia [19 ]
Campbell-Lendrum, Diarmid [20 ]
Chambers, Jonathan [2 ]
Cox, Peter M. [22 ]
Daly, Meaghan [17 ]
Dasandi, Niheer [25 ]
Davies, Michael [3 ]
Depledge, Michael [23 ]
Depoux, Anneliese [26 ]
Dominguez-Salas, Paula [27 ]
Drummond, Paul [4 ]
Ekins, Paul [4 ]
Flahault, Antoine [26 ]
Frumkin, Howard [29 ]
Georgeson, Lucien [6 ]
Ghanei, Mostafa [30 ]
Grace, Delia [28 ]
Graham, Hilary [31 ]
Grojsman, Rebecca [26 ]
Haines, Andy [15 ]
Hamilton, Ian [2 ]
Hartinger, Stella [33 ]
Johnson, Anne [7 ]
Kelman, Ilan [8 ]
Kiesewetter, Gregor [11 ,12 ]
Kniveton, Dominic [14 ]
Liang, Lu [34 ]
Lott, Melissa [4 ]
Lowe, Robert [2 ]
Mace, Georgina [9 ]
Sewe, Maquins Odhiambo [18 ]
Maslin, Mark [6 ]
Mikhaylov, Slava [35 ]
Milner, James [15 ]
Latifi, Ali Mohammad [36 ]
Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar [37 ]
Morrissey, Karyn [24 ]
Murray, Kris [38 ]
Neville, Tara [20 ]
Nilsson, Maria [18 ]
Oreszczyn, Tadj [5 ]
Owfi, Fereidoon [39 ]
Pencheon, David [40 ]
机构
[1] UCL, Inst Global Hlth, London WC1E 6BT, England
[2] UCL, UCL Energy Inst, London, England
[3] UCL, UCL Inst Environm Design & Engn, London, England
[4] UCL, UCL Inst Sustainable Resources, London, England
[5] UCL, Bartlett Sch Environm Energy & Resources, Bartlett Fac Built Environm, London, England
[6] UCL, Dept Geog, London, England
[7] UCL, UCL Inst Epidemiol & Hlth Care, London, England
[8] UCL, UCL Inst Risk & Disaster Reduct, London, England
[9] UCL, Dept Genet Evolut & Environm, London, England
[10] UCL, Ctr Human Hlth & Performance, Div Med, London, England
[11] Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Air Qual & Greenhouse Gases Program, Vienna, Austria
[12] Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Greenhouse Gas Initiat, Vienna, Austria
[13] United Nations Univ, Inst Environm & Secur, Environm Migrat Social Vulnerabil & Daptat Sect E, Bonn, Germany
[14] Univ Sussex, Dept Geog, Brighton, E Sussex, England
[15] London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Dept Social & Environm Hlth Res, London, England
[16] World Bank, Climate Change Dept, 1818 H St NW, Washington, DC 20433 USA
[17] Univ Colorado, Ctr Sci & Technol Policy, Boulder, CO 80309 USA
[18] Umea Univ, Dept Publ Hlth & Clin Med, Epidemiol & Global Hlth, Umea, Sweden
[19] Tsinghua Univ, Sch Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China
[20] World Hlth Org, Dept Publ Hlth Environm & Social Determinants Hlt, Geneva, Switzerland
[21] World Hlth Org, Dept Maternal Newborn Child & Adolescent Hlth, Geneva, Switzerland
[22] Univ Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Exeter, Devon, England
[23] Univ Exeter, Sch Med, Exeter, Devon, England
[24] Univ Exeter, European Ctr Environm & Human Hlth, Exeter, Devon, England
[25] Univ Birmingham, Int Dev Dept, Birmingham, W Midlands, England
[26] Ctr Virchow Villerme Publ Hlth Paris Berlin, Paris, France
[27] Royal Vet Coll, Dept Prod & Populat Hlth, London, England
[28] Int Livestock Res Inst, Food Safety & Zoonoses Program, Nairobi, Kenya
[29] Univ Washington, Dept Environm & Occupat Hlth Sci, Seattle, WA 98195 USA
[30] Univ Med Sci, Chem Injuries Res Ctr, Tehran, Iran
[31] Univ York, Dept Hlth Sci, York, N Yorkshire, England
[32] Tsinghua Univ, Ctr Earth Syst Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
[33] Univ Peruana Cayetano Heredia, Unidad Desarrollo Integral Ambiente & Salud, Lima, Peru
[34] Univ Arkansas Monticello, Sch Forestry & Nat Resources, Monticello, AR USA
[35] Univ Essex, Inst Analyt & Data Sci, Colchester, Essex, England
[36] Baqiyatallah Univ Med Sci, Appl Biotechnol Res Ctr, Tehran, Iran
[37] Iran Univ Med Sci, Tehran, Iran
[38] Imperial Coll London, Grantham Inst Climate Change & Environm, London, England
[39] AREEO, Iranian Fisheries Sci Res Inst, Tehran, Iran
[40] Sustainable Dev Unit, Cambridge, England
[41] Univ Reading, Sch Agr Policy & Dev, Reading, Berks, England
[42] World Meteorol Org, WHO WMO Joint Climate & Hlth Off, Geneva, Switzerland
[43] AREEO, Agr Biotechnol Res Inst Iran, Biofuel Res Team, Karaj, Iran
基金
英国自然环境研究理事会; 英国惠康基金; 英国经济与社会研究理事会; 英国工程与自然科学研究理事会;
关键词
GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS; COLORECTAL-CANCER; POTENTIAL IMPACTS; MEAT CONSUMPTION; FOOD SECURITY; AIR-QUALITY; RISK; MORTALITY; HEAT; TEMPERATURE;
D O I
10.1016/S0140-6736(17)32464-9
中图分类号
R5 [内科学];
学科分类号
1002 ; 100201 ;
摘要
The Lancet Countdown tracks progress on health and climate change and provides an independent assessment of the health effects of climate change, the implementation of the Paris Agreement, 1 and the health implications of these actions. It follows on from the work of the 2015 Lancet Commission on Health and Climate Change, 2 which concluded that anthropogenic climate change threatens to undermine the past 50 years of gains in public health, and conversely, that a comprehensive response to climate change could be "the greatest global health opportunity of the 21st century". The Lancet Countdown is a collaboration between 24 academic institutions and intergovernmental organisations based in every continent and with representation from a wide range of disciplines. The collaboration includes climate scientists, ecologists, economists, engineers, experts in energy, food, and transport systems, geographers, mathematicians, social and political scientists, public health professionals, and doctors. It reports annual indicators across five sections: climate change impacts, exposures, and vulnerability; adaptation planning and resilience for health; mitigation actions and health co-benefits; economics and finance; and public and political engagement. The key messages from the 40 indicators in the Lancet Countdown's 2017 report are summarised below.
引用
收藏
页码:581 / 630
页数:50
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