Wind farm wind power prediction method based on CEEMDAN and DE optimized DNN neural network

被引:0
|
作者
Zhang, Qun [1 ]
Tang, Zhenhao [1 ]
Cao, Shengxian [1 ]
Wang, Gong [1 ]
机构
[1] Northeast Elect Power Univ, Sch Automat Engn, Jilin, Jilin, Peoples R China
来源
2019 CHINESE AUTOMATION CONGRESS (CAC2019) | 2019年
基金
中国国家自然科学基金; 国家重点研发计划;
关键词
Wind power forecast; CEEMDAN; DNN; LASSO; REGRESSION; DESIGN;
D O I
10.1109/cac48633.2019.8996744
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
Forecasting the generation of renewable energy power plants is increasingly becoming one of the basic technologies to ensure the safe and stable operation of power grids. In this paper, a new wind farm wind power prediction method based on CEEMDAN and DE optimized DNN neural network is proposed. Firstly, CEEMDAN is used to decompose the preliminary processed wind power historical data, and the LASSO method is used to eliminate the noise signal and re-fit. Then, the DE optimization algorithm is used to optimize the performance of the DNN neural network. Finally, the optimized DNN neural network is used to predict the short-term wind power of the wind farm. The CE-DE-RBF, CE-DE-BP, and CE-DE-LSSVM models were used as comparison models. Predictive experiments were performed using real data from a wind power plant in northern China. The test results fully demonstrate that the proposed model has higher prediction accuracy in terms of three performance indicators than other comparison models.
引用
收藏
页码:1626 / 1630
页数:5
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