Business cycle;
Bayesian analysis;
DSGE models;
Small open economy models;
Stochastic volatility;
VOLATILITY;
MODEL;
D O I:
10.1016/j.jmacro.2021.103349
中图分类号:
F [经济];
学科分类号:
02 ;
摘要:
This paper examines the Taiwanese economy in a small open economy DSGE model using Bayesian estimation. The model consists of two countries and 12 exogenous shocks with stochastic volatility to capture the fluctuations in the business cycle. The main results are: (1) shock innovations with stochastic volatility increase the model fit, (2) shocks originated from outside the country are important sources of fluctuations in the Taiwanese business cycle.
机构:
Univ South Australia, Adelaide, SA, AustraliaUniv South Australia, Adelaide, SA, Australia
Ambaw, Dessie
Pundit, Madhavi
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Asian Dev Bank, Mandaluyong, PhilippinesUniv South Australia, Adelaide, SA, Australia
Pundit, Madhavi
Ramayandi, Arief
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Asian Dev Bank, Mandaluyong, PhilippinesUniv South Australia, Adelaide, SA, Australia
Ramayandi, Arief
Sim, Nicholas
论文数: 0引用数: 0
h-index: 0
机构:
Singapore Univ Social Sci, Sch Business, Singapore City, Singapore
Singapore Univ Social Sci, Sch Business, 463 Clementi Rd, Singapore City 599494, SingaporeUniv South Australia, Adelaide, SA, Australia