Effects of Oil Price Shocks on Agricultural Sector Using Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model

被引：0

作者：

Permeh, Z. ^{[1
]}

Ghorbani, M. ^{[2
]}

Tavakolian, H. ^{[3
]}

Shahnoshi, N. ^{[2
]}

机构：

[1] Ferdowsi Univ Mashhad, Inst Trade Studies & Res, Mashhad, Iran

[2] Ferdowsi Univ Mashhad, Dept Agr Econ, Fac Agr, Mashhad, Iran

[3] Allameh Tabatabai Univ, Fac Econ, Tehran, Iran

来源：

JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY | 2017年 / 19卷 / 06期

关键词：

Agriculture; Bayesian; DSGE; Multi-sector; Oil prices; Stickiness;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

S [农业科学];

学科分类号：

09 ;

摘要：

This study aimed to develop a multi-sector Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (Large DSGE) model for Iran's economy. In this model, economy was divided into three sectors: Agriculture, non-agriculture, and oil. Imports and exports were also included in the model. In order to adapt the model with Iran's economic conditions, price stickiness in agriculture and non-agriculture were included. Then, the impact of rising oil prices on agricultural sector was examined. To calculate the required coefficients, 1971-2012 data was gathered and Bayesian method was used. The results showed the negative impacts of rising oil prices on agriculture as well as the negative effects of Dutch Disease.

引用

页码：1211 / 1226

页数：16

共 50 条

[41] Alternative agriculture land-use transformation pathways by partial-equilibrium agricultural sector model: a mathematical approach [J].

Malvika Kanojia ;

Prerna Kamani ;

Gautam Siddharth Kashyap ;

Shafaq Naz ;

Samar Wazir ;

Abhishek Chauhan .

International Journal of Information Technology, 2025, 17 (4) :2533-2552

[42] The economic influence of climate change on Bangladesh agriculture: application of a dynamic computable general equilibrium model [J].

Hossain, Syed Shoyeb ;

Cui, Yongwei ;

Delin, Huang ;

Zhang, Xinyuan .

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATE CHANGE STRATEGIES AND MANAGEMENT, 2023, 15 (03) :353-370

[43] The Impact of Global Oil Price Fluctuations on Economic Growth in Iraq by using VAR Model [J].

Al-Taie, Abdul Rahman Karim Abdul Ridha ;

Habeeb, Hussein Breesam ;

Khalaf, Saad H. .

INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS, 2022, 21 (04) :565-572

[44] Heterogeneous effects of oil price fluctuations: Evidence from a nonparametric panel data model in Canada [J].

Moghaddam, Mohsen Bakhshi ;

Lloyd-Ellis, Huw .

ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2022, 110

[45] A Dynamic Stochastic Programming model of crop rotation choice to test the adoption of long rotation under price and production risks [J].

Ridier, Aude ;

Chaib, Karim ;

Roussy, Caroline .

EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 2016, 252 (01) :270-279

[46] Causes and consequences of energy price shocks on petroleum-based stock market using the spillover asymmetric multiplicative error model [J].

Khalifa, Ahmed A. ;

Alsarhan, Abdulwahab A. ;

Bertuccelli, Pietro .

RESEARCH IN INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS AND FINANCE, 2017, 39 :307-314

[47] Exploring the dynamic effects of financial factors on oil prices based on a TVP-VAR model [J].

Wen, Fenghua ;

Zhang, Minzhi ;

Deng, Mi ;

Zhao, Yupei ;

Ouyang, Jian .

PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2019, 532

[48] Examining the dynamic effect of COVID-19 pandemic on dwindling oil prices using structural vector autoregressive model [J].

Adedeji, Abdulkabir N. ;

Ahmed, Funmilola F. ;

Adam, Shehu U. .

ENERGY, 2021, 230

[49] Potential Impacts of Using Sugar and Coconut as Biofuel Feedstocks on Industry Outputs and Pollution Emissions: Simulations from a Computable General Equilibrium Model of the Philippines [J].

Rodriguez, U-Primo E. .

PHILIPPINE JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE, 2009, 34 (03) :68-81

[50] Can oil prices help predict US stock market returns? Evidence using a dynamic model averaging (DMA) approach [J].

Hanan Naser ;

Fatema Alaali .

Empirical Economics, 2018, 55 :1757-1777

← 1 2 3 4 5 →