Glenoid track measurement using magnetic resonance imaging arthrography is predictive of recurrent instability following arthroscopic shoulder stabilisation

Purpose The primary aim of this study was to investigate medium-term survivorship following arthroscopic Bankart repair (ABR) for anterior glenohumeral instability. The secondary aim was to determine whether the pre-operative magnetic resonance (MR) arthrography glenoid track measurement predicted recurrent instability following ABR. Methods Over a 9-year period (2008-2017), 215 patients underwent ABR. Median age was 26 years (IQR 22-32.5; range 14-77). There were 173 males (81%). 175 patients (81%) had available pre-operative MR arthrography, which was used to determine the presence of "off-track" bone loss. Retrospective analysis was undertaken to determine recurrence of instability at a median follow-up of 76 months (range 21-125 months). Survivorship analysis was undertaken using Kaplan-Meier methodology: the endpoints examined were repeat dislocation, revision stabilisation, and symptomatic instability. Results 56 patients (26%) presented with further instability, including 29 patients with recurrent dislocation and 15 patients required revision stabilisation. Cumulative incidence of instability was 10% at 1 year, 27% at 5 years and 28% at 7 years. No significant difference in instability was seen between men and women 7 years after stabilisation (19% vs 17%; p = 0.87). Age at time of surgery did not predict recurrence. "Off-track" lesions were identified in 29 patients (16.1%). The incidence of redislocation was significantly higher in these patients (24% vs 3%; p = 0.01; relative risk 7.2; 95% CI 2.45-20.5; p = 0.001). Recurrent instability without frank redislocation was also significantly higher in this group (60% vs 18%; RR 3.33, 95% CI 2.02-5.20; p < 0.0001). Conclusions This study has reported a significant rate of recurrent instability in longer-term follow-up after ABR. It has also identified pre-operative MR arthrography as an important predictor of recurrent instability, which may be used to risk stratify patients with anterior instability in a typical UK population.