Optimal control strategies for the transmission risk of COVID-19

被引:52
|
作者
Lemecha Obsu, Legesse [1 ]
Feyissa Balcha, Shiferaw [1 ]
机构
[1] Adama Sci & Technol Univ, Dept Appl Math, Adama, Ethiopia
关键词
COVID-19; mathematical modelling; basic reproduction number; sensitivity analysis; optimal control; CORONAVIRUS COVID-19; MATHEMATICAL-MODEL; TUBERCULOSIS MODEL; EPIDEMIC; WUHAN; PREVENTION; OUTBREAK; SPREAD; VIRUS;
D O I
10.1080/17513758.2020.1788182
中图分类号
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ;
摘要
In this paper, we apply optimal control theory to a novel coronavirus (COVID-19) transmission model given by a system of non-linear ordinary differential equations. Optimal control strategies are obtained by minimizing the number of exposed and infected population considering the cost of implementation. The existence of optimal controls and characterization is established using Pontryagin's Maximum Principle. An expression for the basic reproduction number is derived in terms of control variables. Then the sensitivity of basic reproduction number with respect to model parameters is also analysed. Numerical simulation results demonstrated good agreement with our analytical results. Finally, the findings of this study shows that comprehensive impacts of prevention, intensive medical care and surface disinfection strategies outperform in reducing the disease epidemic with optimum implementation cost.
引用
收藏
页码:590 / 607
页数:18
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Enhancing transmission control of the COVID-19 epidemic in India: optimal strategies and approaches
    Muthukumar, Sumathi
    Chinnadurai, Veeramani
    Balakumar, Abilasha
    OPSEARCH, 2024,
  • [2] Control Strategies to Curtail Transmission of COVID-19
    Shah, Nita H.
    Suthar, Ankush H.
    Jayswal, Ekta N.
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICS AND MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES, 2020, 2020
  • [3] Optimal Control Model for the Transmission of Novel COVID-19
    Baba, Isa Abdullahi
    Nasidi, Bashir Ahmad
    Baleanu, Dumitru
    CMC-COMPUTERS MATERIALS & CONTINUA, 2021, 66 (03): : 3089 - 3106
  • [4] Optimal Control Strategies of COVID-19 Dynamics Model
    Keno, Temesgen Duressa
    Etana, Hana Tariku
    JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICS, 2023, 2023
  • [5] Optimal Strategies for Control of COVID-19: A Mathematical Perspective
    Seidu, Baba
    SCIENTIFICA, 2020, 2020
  • [6] Effect of high and low risk susceptibles in the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 and control strategies
    Khan, Adnan
    Ali, Mohsin
    Iqbal, Wizda
    Imran, Mudassar
    PLOS ONE, 2021, 16 (09):
  • [7] Optimal control strategies to combat COVID-19 transmission: A mathematical model with incubation time delay
    Singh, Harendra Pal
    Bhatia, Sumit Kaur
    Bahri, Yashika
    Jain, Riya
    RESULTS IN CONTROL AND OPTIMIZATION, 2022, 9
  • [8] An SEQAIHR model to study COVID-19 transmission and optimal control strategies in Hong Kong, 2022
    Saha, Pritam
    Biswas, Sudhanshu Kumar
    Biswas, Md. Haider Ali
    Ghosh, Uttam
    NONLINEAR DYNAMICS, 2023, 111 (07) : 6873 - 6893
  • [9] An SEQAIHR model to study COVID-19 transmission and optimal control strategies in Hong Kong, 2022
    Pritam Saha
    Sudhanshu Kumar Biswas
    Md. Haider Ali Biswas
    Uttam Ghosh
    Nonlinear Dynamics, 2023, 111 : 6873 - 6893
  • [10] TRANSMISSION DYNAMICS AND CONTROL STRATEGIES OF COVID-19 IN WUHAN, CHINA
    Pang, Liuyong
    Liu, Sanhong
    Zhang, Xinan
    Tian, Tianhai
    Zhao, Zhong
    JOURNAL OF BIOLOGICAL SYSTEMS, 2020, 28 (03) : 543 - 560