Cystatin C kidney functional reserve: a simple method to predict outcome in chronic kidney disease

Background Kidney functional reserve (KFR), the only clinical kidney stress test, is not routinely measured because the complexity of measurement has limited clinical application. We investigated the utility of plasma cystatin C (CysC) after oral protein loading (PL) to determine KFR in Stages 3 and 4 chronic kidney disease (CKD). Methods Following a 24-h low-protein diet, KFR was measured after oral protein by hourly plasma CysC and compared with simultaneous creatinine clearance (CrCl) and radionuclide (99)technetium diethylenetriaminepentaacetatic acid (Tc-99m-DTPA) measured glomerular filtration rate (mGFR) measurement in an observational, single-centre cohort study of adults with CKD Stages 3 and 4. Subjects were followed for 3 years for fast (F) or slow (S) CKD progression, dialysis requirement or death or a combination of major adverse kidney events (MAKEs). Result CysC, CrCl and Tc-99m-DTPA mGFR measurements of KFR in 19 CKD Stage 3 and 21 CKD Stage 4 patients yielded good agreement. KFR was not correlated with baseline kidney function. Eight CKD Stage 3 (42%) and 11 CKD Stage 4 (52%) subjects reached their lowest serum CysC concentration 4 h after PL. CysC KFR and baseline serum creatinine (sCr) predicted death or dialysis or MAKE-F with a respective area under the curve (AUC) of 0.73 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.48-0.89] and 0.71 (95% CI 0.51-0.84). Including CysC KFR, age, baseline sCr and nadir CysC predicted a decrease in sCr-estimated GFR >1.2 mL/min/year (MAKE-S) with an AUC of 0.89. Conclusions Serial CysC avoided timed urine collection and radionuclide exposure and yielded equivalent estimates of KFR. Serial CysC may facilitate monitoring of KFR in clinical practice.