Closing the loop: Reconnecting human dynamics to Earth System science

被引:51
作者
Donges, Jonathan F. [1 ,2 ]
Winkelmann, Ricarda [1 ,3 ]
Lucht, Wolfgang [1 ,4 ]
Cornell, Sarah E. [2 ]
Dyke, James G. [5 ]
Rockstrom, Johan [2 ]
Heitzig, Jobst [1 ]
Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Telegrafenberg A31, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany
[2] Stockholm Univ, Stockholm Resilience Ctr, Kraftriket 2B, S-11419 Stockholm, Sweden
[3] Univ Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany
[4] Humboldt Univ, Berlin, Germany
[5] Univ Southampton, Southampton, Hants, England
关键词
coevolutionary dynamics; complex adaptive networks; Earth System analysis; Earth System modelling; human agency; planetary boundaries; safe and just space for humanity; sustainable development goals; EVOLUTION; NETWORKS;
D O I
10.1177/2053019617725537
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
International commitment to the appropriately ambitious Paris climate agreement and the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals in 2015 has pulled into the limelight the urgent need for major scientific progress in understanding and modelling the Anthropocene, the tightly intertwined social-environmental planetary system that humanity now inhabits. The Anthropocene qualitatively differs from previous eras in Earth's history in three key characteristics: (1) There is planetary-scale human agency. (2) There are social and economic networks of teleconnections spanning the globe. (3) It is dominated by planetary-scale social-ecological feedbacks. Bolting together old concepts and methodologies cannot be an adequate approach to describing this new geological era. Instead, we need a new paradigm in Earth System science that is founded equally on a deep understanding of the physical and biological Earth System - and of the economic, social and cultural forces that are now an intrinsic part of it. It is time to close the loop and bring socially mediated dynamics explicitly into theory, analysis and models that let us study the whole Earth System.
引用
收藏
页码:151 / 157
页数:7
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