Economic policy uncertainty and stock markets: Long-run evidence from the US

被引:308
作者
Arouri, Mohamed [1 ]
Estay, Christophe [2 ]
Rault, Christophe [3 ]
Roubaud, David [4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Auvergne, CRCGM, 11 Blvd Charles Gaulle, F-63000 Clermont Ferrand, France
[2] KEDGE Business Sch, 680 Cours Liberat, F-33400 Talence, France
[3] Univ Orleans, LEO, UMR CNRS 7322, Rue Blois BP 6739, F-45067 Orleans 2, France
[4] MBS, MRM, 2300 Ave Moulins, F-34080 Montpellier, France
关键词
Policy uncertainty; US stock markets; Markov-switching; PRICES; SHOCKS;
D O I
10.1016/j.frl.2016.04.011
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We contribute to the literature by studying the impact of economic policy uncertainty on stock markets in the United States over the period 1900-2014. We show that an increase in policy uncertainty reduces significantly stock returns and that this effect is stronger and persistent during extreme volatility periods. (C) 2016 Published by Elsevier Inc.
引用
收藏
页码:136 / 141
页数:6
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