A Fuzzy Rule-Based Approach to Address Uncertainty in Risk Assessment and Prediction of Blast-Induced Flyrock in a Quarry

Strict control of the environmental impacts of blasting operations needs to be completely in line with the regulatory limits. In such operations, flyrock control is of high importance especially due to safety issues and the damages it may cause to infrastructures, properties as well as the people who live within and around the blasting site. Such control causes flyrock to be limited, hence significantly reducing the risk of damage. This paper serves two main objectives: risk assessment and prediction of flyrock. For these objectives, a fuzzy rock engineering system (FRES) framework was developed in this study. The proposed FRES was able to efficiently evaluate the parameters that affect flyrock, which facilitate decisions to be made under uncertainties. In this study, the risk level of flyrock was determined using 11 independent parameters, and the proposed FRES was capable of calculating the interactions among these parameters. According to the results, the overall risk of flyrock in the studied case (Ulu Tiram quarry, located in Malaysia) was medium to high. Hence, the use of controlled blasting method can be recommended in the site. In the next step, three optimization algorithms, namely genetic algorithm (GA), imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO), were used to predict flyrock, and it was found that the GA-based model was more accurate than the ICA- and PSO-based models. Accordingly, it is concluded that FRES is a very useful for both risk assessment and prediction of flyrock.