River flood risk and adaptation in Europe-assessment of the present status

被引:69
作者
Lugeri, Nicola [1 ]
Kundzewicz, Zbigniew W. [2 ,3 ]
Genovese, Elisabetta [1 ]
Hochrainer, Stefan [4 ]
Radziejewski, Maciej [2 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Commiss European Communities, Joint Res Ctr, I-21020 Ispra, Italy
[2] Polish Acad Sci, Inst Agr & Forest Environm, Poznan, Poland
[3] Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Potsdam, Germany
[4] Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria
[5] Adam Mickiewicz Univ, Fac Math & Comp Sci, Poznan, Poland
关键词
Floods; Hazard; Risk; Vulnerability; Damage; Adaptation;
D O I
10.1007/s11027-009-9211-8
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Flood disasters have had a devastating effect worldwide over the past century, both in terms of human suffering and material losses. The study of these events and development of more effective adaptation and mitigation policies has become a priority, both in Europe and other parts of the globe. This paper detects and presents the spatial distribution of river flood risks in Europe. The methodology we developed involves an assessment of three key risk components: exposure, vulnerability and hazard. A topography-based flood hazard map of Europe, identifying low-lying areas adjacent to rivers, is presented and used to identify risk, together with land-use data and damage-stage relationship for different land uses. The study covers river flood risk for the entire European continent. This methodology can be used to determine the level of future risk, using the estimations on Hazard, Exposure and Vulnerability from specific climate and economic development models. Annual average flood damage is estimated for European regions, in absolute monetary terms and in % of regional Gross Domestic Product (GDP). The results highlight regions where the threat to the economy from river flood hazard is of major concern.
引用
收藏
页码:621 / 639
页数:19
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