A coupled flood-agent-institution modelling (CLAIM) framework for urban flood risk management

被引:54
作者
Abebe, Yared Abayneh [1 ]
Ghorbani, Amineh [2 ]
Nikolic, Igor [2 ]
Vojinovic, Zoran [1 ,3 ,4 ,5 ]
Sanchez, Arlex [1 ]
机构
[1] IHE Delft Inst Water Educ, Environm Engn & Water Technol Dept, Westvest 7, NL-2601 DA Delft, Netherlands
[2] Delft Univ Technol, Fac Technol Policy & Management, Jaffalaan 5, NL-2628 BX Delft, Netherlands
[3] Univ Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Ctr Water Syst, Exeter EX4 4QF, Devon, England
[4] Univ Belgrade, Fac Civil Engn, Bulevar Kralja Aleksandra 73, Belgrade 11000, Serbia
[5] Asian Inst Technol, Sch Engn & Technol, POB 4, Klongluang 12120, Pathum Thani, Thailand
关键词
Coupled human-flood systems; Socio-hydrology; Institutions; Agent-based modelling; Flood risk management; Urban flood modelling; SOCIO-HYDROLOGY; AREAS;
D O I
10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.10.015
中图分类号
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号
081203 ; 0835 ;
摘要
In this paper, we describe a modelling framework that allows the integration of human and physical components of flood risk. Within this framework, flood risk management is conceptualized as a coupled human-flood system. The human subsystem includes individuals and their behaviour and institutions that shape human-flood interaction. The framework presents a dynamic integration between agent-based models of individuals and institutions and numerical flood models. We demonstrate the framework's modelling application by examining the effects of three institutions in the Caribbean island of Sint Maarten. The case study shows the capabilities of the framework by exploring impacts of existing policies on flood risk reduction. Coupled agent-based-flood models built using the framework are useful to analyse policy options that address flood hazard and communities' vulnerability and exposure to support policy decision making. These models also show how flood risk changes over time in relation to the human dynamics on the urban environment.
引用
收藏
页码:483 / 492
页数:10
相关论文
共 60 条
  • [1] Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment
    Aerts, J. C. J. H.
    Botzen, W. J.
    Clarke, K. C.
    Cutter, S. L.
    Hall, J. W.
    Merz, B.
    Michel-Kerjan, E.
    Mysiak, J.
    Surminski, S.
    Kunreuther, H.
    [J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2018, 8 (03) : 193 - 199
  • [2] Allen P. M., 2008, DYNAMICS COMPLEX URB, P21, DOI 10.1007/978-3-7908-1937-3_2
  • [3] [Anonymous], 2009, Complexity: A guided tour
  • [4] APFM, 2012, URB FLOOD MAN CHANG
  • [5] Agent-based modeling: A revolution?
    Bankes, SC
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2002, 99 : 7199 - 7200
  • [6] A Systematic Approach to Institutional Analysis: Applying Crawford and Ostrom's Grammar
    Basurto, Xavier
    Kingsley, Gordon
    McQueen, Kelly
    Smith, Mshadoni
    Weible, Christopher M.
    [J]. POLITICAL RESEARCH QUARTERLY, 2010, 63 (03) : 523 - 537
  • [7] An overview of the model integration process: From pre-integration assessment to testing
    Belete, Getachew F.
    Voinov, Alexey
    Laniak, Gerard F.
    [J]. ENVIRONMENTAL MODELLING & SOFTWARE, 2017, 87 : 49 - 63
  • [8] Agent-based modeling: Methods and techniques for simulating human systems
    Bonabeau, E
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2002, 99 : 7280 - 7287
  • [9] A GRAMMAR OF INSTITUTIONS
    CRAWFORD, SES
    OSTROM, E
    [J]. AMERICAN POLITICAL SCIENCE REVIEW, 1995, 89 (03) : 582 - 600
  • [10] CRED UNISDR, 2015, HUMAN COST WEATH REL