Spatial and temporal scales of future climate information for climate change adaptation in viticulture: a case study of User needs in the Australian winegrape sector

被引:28
作者
Dunn, M. R. [1 ]
Lindesay, J. A. [1 ]
Howden, M. [2 ]
机构
[1] Australian Natl Univ, Fenner Sch Environm & Soc, Canberra, ACT 2600, Australia
[2] CSIRO, Climate Adaptat Flagship, Canberra, ACT 2600, Australia
关键词
climate analogues; decision making; future climate change adaptation; spatial and temporal scale; User needs; viticulture; GROWING REGIONS; RISK-MANAGEMENT; FORECASTS; POLICY; UNCERTAINTY; PERCEPTIONS; SCENARIOS; SCIENCE; PROJECTIONS; WEATHER;
D O I
10.1111/ajgw.12138
中图分类号
TS2 [食品工业];
学科分类号
0832 ;
摘要
Background and AimsWhich characteristics make future climate change information valuable for on-ground decision making for adaptation in the winegrape sector? And at what spatial and temporal scales will it be needed by Users? Methods and ResultsThis paper presents the results of a two-stage mixed methods study conducted with viticulturists, winemakers and industry representatives in the winegrape sector in Australia. For long-term decision making, participants focus on the concept of future climate analogues as being the most useful form of future climate information. Information provided at spatial scales the size of growing regions adequately meets the needs of most of these Users; and is wanted over time frames of five to 20 years into the future. Importantly, almost three quarters of the participants indicated that the uncertainty surrounding future climate change would not stop them from considering climate change when making decisions about adapting their practices. ConclusionsThis research suggests that the outputs of future climate models are typically presented at the wrong spatial and temporal scales and in a format which is not appropriate for Users in viticulture in Australia. Significance of the StudyThis study broadens the research on the perspectives of end Users concerning information needs for long-term decision making for climate change adaptation to include the viticulture sector.
引用
收藏
页码:226 / 239
页数:14
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