The heterogeneous effect of socioeconomic driving factors on PM2.5 in China's 30 province-level administrative regions: Evidence from Bayesian hierarchical spatial quantile regression

被引:22
作者
Zou, Qingrong [1 ]
Shi, Jian [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Beijing Informat Sci & Technol Univ, Sch Appl Sci, Beijing 100192, Peoples R China
[2] Chinese Acad Sci, Acad Math & Syst Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China
[3] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Sch Math Sci, Beijing 100039, Peoples R China
关键词
Quantile regression; Spatial method; Bayesian inference; PM2.5; pollution; Socioeconomic factors; PARTICULATE MATTER PM2.5; YANGTZE-RIVER DELTA; AIR-POLLUTION; ENERGY EFFICIENCY; EMPIRICAL-ANALYSIS; CO2; EMISSIONS; URBAN; PM10; URBANIZATION; QUALITY;
D O I
10.1016/j.envpol.2020.114690
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
China has become one of the most serious PM2.5-dominated air pollution country. Despite a great deal of research has focused on analysing the influence of social and economic driving forces of PM2.5 pollution in China, most research in existence either applying mean regression or failing to consider the spatial autocorrelation. Motivated by this, this paper utilizes a Bayesian hierarchical spatial quantile regression method to explore the effect of socioeconomic activity on PM2.5 air pollution. By introducing spatial random effects into the model, the spatial autocorrelations of residuals are significantly reduced. The empirical study demonstrated that the PM2.5 concentration levels were strongly correlated with total population, urbanization rate, industrialization level and energy efficiency at all quantiles. For upper quantiles, the impact of urbanization rate on the haze is the greatest among all the predictors, then followed by the total population; while for lower quantiles, industrialization has the greatest impact on the PM2.5 concentration. The impacts of energy efficiency in the lower 15% and upper 15% quantiles are higher compared to any of the other quantiles. (C) 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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页数:10
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