Association of blood bicarbonate and pH with mineral metabolism disturbance and outcome after kidney transplantation

In kidney transplant recipients (KTRs), scarce evidence has associated low blood bicarbonate levels with mineral metabolic disturbance and reduced allograft survival. However, the contribution of the blood pH to these observations remains unassessed. Equally, little is known about the influence of the blood provenance (arteriovenous fistula vs peripheral vein) on bicarbonate values. We analyzed blood gas parameters in a single-center cohort of 1260 stable KTRs, 3 months after transplantation. Inspection of pO(2) distribution allowed the unambiguous identification of the arterial (N = 914) or venous (N = 346) origin of the samples. In patients with arterial blood samples, 435 (46%) had bicarbonate levels below 22 mmol/L. Among them, 196 (40%) were acidemic (blood pH <7.38). In multivariate analysis, low arterial blood pH was associated with increased blood ionized calcium and phosphate and reduced fibroblast growth factor 23 and calcitriol, but not with outcome. In contrast, low bicarbonate concentration predicted allograft loss independently of measured glomerular filtration rate and other potential confounders (hazard ratio [HR] 1.70; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-2.80). In KTRs, reduced arterial blood bicarbonate levels predict outcome while acidemia is associated with altered mineral metabolism.