Interaction models for common long-range dependence in asset prices volatility

被引:0
作者
Teyssière, G [1 ]
机构
[1] GREQAM, F-13002 Marseille, France
来源
PROCESSES WITH LONG-RANGE CORRELATIONS: THEORY AND APPLICATIONS | 2003年 / 621卷
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中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
We consider a class of microeconomic models with interacting agents which replicate the main properties of asset prices time series: non-linearities in levels and common degree of long-memory in the volatilities and co-volatilities of multivariate time series. For these models, long-range dependence in asset price volatility is the consequence of swings in opinions and herding behavior of market participants, which generate switches in the heteroskedastic structure of asset prices. Thus, the observed long-memory in asset prices volatility might be the outcome of a change-point in the conditional variance process, a conclusion supported by a wavelet anaysis of the volatility series. This explains why volatility processes share only the properties of the second moments of long-memory processes, but not the properties of the first moments.
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页码:251 / 269
页数:19
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