Empirical Mode Decomposition based Multi-objective Deep Belief Network for short-term power load forecasting

被引:66
作者
Fan, Chaodong [1 ,2 ]
Ding, Changkun [1 ,2 ]
Zheng, Jinhua [1 ]
Xiao, Leyi [3 ]
Ai, Zhaoyang [4 ]
机构
[1] Xiangtan Univ, Coll Informat Engn, Xiangtan 411105, Hunan, Peoples R China
[2] Fujian Prov Key Lab Data Intens Comp, Quanzhou 362000, Fujian, Peoples R China
[3] Hunan Univ, Coll Elect & Informat Engn, Changsha 410082, Hunan, Peoples R China
[4] Hunan Univ, Inst Cognit Control & Biophys Linguist, CFL, Changsha 410082, Hunan, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Empirical Mode Decomposition; Multi-objective optimization algorithm; Ensemble learning; Deep belief network; Power load forecasting; ENSEMBLE; NORMALIZATION; PROPOSAL;
D O I
10.1016/j.neucom.2020.01.031
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
With the rapid development of power grid data, the data generated by the operation of the power system is increasingly complex, and the amount of data increases exponentially. In order to fully exploit and utilize the deep relationship between data to achieve accurate prediction of power load, this paper proposes an Empirical Mode Decomposition Based Multi-objective Deep Belief Network prediction method (EMD-MODBN). In the training process of DBN, a multi-objective optimization model is constructed aiming at accuracy and diversity, and MOEA/D is used to optimize the parameters of the model to enhance the generalization ability of the prediction model. Finally, the final load forecasting results are obtained by summing up the weighted outputs of each forecasting model with ensemble learning method. The experimental results show that compared with several current better load forecasting methods, this method has obvious advantages in prediction accuracy and generalization ability. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:110 / 123
页数:14
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