Information Uncertainty and the Post-Earnings Announcement Drift in Europe

被引:9
作者
Gerard, Xavier [1 ]
机构
[1] Royal Bank Scotland, London, England
关键词
STOCK RETURNS; PREDICTIVE REGRESSIONS; FUTURE EARNINGS; VOLUME; RISK; EQUILIBRIUM; ARBITRAGE; SURPRISES; LIQUIDITY; PREMIUM;
D O I
10.2469/faj.v68.n2.4
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Investigating the effect of earnings announcement abnormal return and of abnormal trading volume on future returns for a large sample of European companies with both annual and interim announcements over 1997-2010, the author found that the two measures of market surprise are positively related to future abnormal returns, especially when information uncertainty is high. These two effects also appear to be complementary in that each retains some incremental predictive power for future returns.
引用
收藏
页码:51 / 69
页数:19
相关论文
共 42 条
[1]   Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects [J].
Amihud, Y .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL MARKETS, 2002, 5 (01) :31-56
[2]   Predictive regressions: A reduced-bias estimation method [J].
Amihud, Y ;
Hurvich, CM .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL AND QUANTITATIVE ANALYSIS, 2004, 39 (04) :813-841
[3]   How naive is the stock market's use of earnings information? [J].
Ball, R ;
Bartov, E .
JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING & ECONOMICS, 1996, 21 (03) :319-337
[4]   EMPIRICAL EVALUATION OF ACCOUNTING INCOME NUMBERS [J].
BALL, R ;
BROWN, P .
JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING RESEARCH, 1968, 6 (02) :159-178
[5]   All that glitters: The effect of attention and news on the buying behavior of individual and institutional investors [J].
Barber, Brad M. ;
Odean, Terrance .
REVIEW OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, 2008, 21 (02) :785-818
[6]   Investor sophistication and patterns in stock returns after earnings announcements [J].
Bartov, E ;
Radhakrishnan, S ;
Krinsky, I .
ACCOUNTING REVIEW, 2000, 75 (01) :43-63
[7]  
Bekaert G, 2010, 16058 NBER
[8]   POST-EARNINGS-ANNOUNCEMENT DRIFT - DELAYED PRICE RESPONSE OR RISK PREMIUM [J].
BERNARD, VL ;
THOMAS, JK .
JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING RESEARCH, 1989, 27 :1-36
[9]   EVIDENCE THAT STOCK-PRICES DO NOT FULLY REFLECT THE IMPLICATIONS OF CURRENT EARNINGS FOR FUTURE EARNINGS [J].
BERNARD, VL ;
THOMAS, JK .
JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING & ECONOMICS, 1990, 13 (04) :305-340
[10]   AN INFORMATIONAL EFFICIENCY PERSPECTIVE ON THE POST-EARNINGS ANNOUNCEMENT DRIFT [J].
BHUSHAN, R .
JOURNAL OF ACCOUNTING & ECONOMICS, 1994, 18 (01) :45-65