Global impacts of climate change on avian functional diversity

被引:52
作者
Stewart, Peter S. [1 ,2 ]
Voskamp, Alke [1 ,3 ]
Santini, Luca [4 ,5 ]
Biber, Matthias F. [3 ,6 ]
Devenish, Adam J. M. [2 ]
Hof, Christian [3 ,6 ]
Willis, Stephen G. [1 ]
Tobias, Joseph A. [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Durham, Dept Biosci, Durham DH1 3LE, England
[2] Imperial Coll London, Dept Life Sci, Silwood Pk,Buckhurst Rd, Ascot SL5 7PY, Berks, England
[3] Senckenberg Biodivers & Climate Res Ctr BiK F, Frankfurt, Germany
[4] Sapienza Univ Rome, Dept Biol & Biotechnol Charles Darwin, Rome, Italy
[5] CNR, IRET, Inst Res Terr Ecosyst, Natl Res Council, Rome, Italy
[6] Tech Univ Munich, Terr Ecol Res Grp, Freising Weihenstephan, Germany
基金
英国自然环境研究理事会;
关键词
climate change; ecological forecasting; ecosystem function; functional diversity; functional traits; range-shift modelling; SPECIES INTERACTIONS; POLEWARD SHIFTS; SEED DISPERSAL; BILL-SIZE; PASSERINE; TRAITS; COMMUNITIES; RESPONSES; ECOLOGY; ASSEMBLAGES;
D O I
10.1111/ele.13830
中图分类号
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ;
摘要
Climate change is predicted to drive geographical range shifts, leading to fluctuations in species richness (SR) worldwide. However, the effect of these changes on functional diversity (FD) remains unclear, in part because comprehensive species-level trait data are generally lacking at global scales. Here, we use morphometric and ecological traits for 8268 bird species to estimate the impact of climate change on avian FD. We show that future bird assemblages are likely to undergo substantial shifts in trait structure, with a magnitude of change greater than predicted from SR alone, and a direction of change varying according to geographical location and trophic guild. For example, our models predict that FD of insect predators will increase at higher latitudes with concurrent losses at mid-latitudes, whereas FD of seed dispersing birds will fluctuate across the tropics. Our findings highlight the potential for climate change to drive continental-scale shifts in avian FD with implications for ecosystem function and resilience.
引用
收藏
页码:673 / 685
页数:13
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