Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Infection Fatality Rate Among Elderly Danes: A Cross-sectional Study on Retired Blood Donors

被引:11
作者
Pedersen, Ole Birger [1 ,2 ]
Nissen, Janna [3 ]
Dinh, Khoa Manh [4 ]
Schwinn, Michael [3 ]
Kaspersen, Kathrine Agergard [4 ,5 ]
Boldsen, Jens Kjaergaard [4 ,5 ]
Didriksen, Maria [3 ]
Dowsett, Joseph [3 ]
Sorensen, Erik [3 ]
Thorner, Lise Wegner [3 ]
Larsen, Margit Anita Horup [3 ]
Grum-Schwensen, Birgitte [1 ]
Saekmose, Susanne [1 ]
Paulsen, Isabella Worlewenut [1 ]
Frisk, Nanna Lond Skov [1 ]
Brodersen, Thorsten [1 ]
Vestergaard, Lasse Skafte [6 ]
Rostgaard, Klaus [7 ]
Molbak, Kare [6 ]
Skov, Robert Leo [6 ]
Erikstrup, Christian [4 ]
Ullum, Henrik [2 ,3 ]
Hjalgrim, Henrik [2 ,7 ,8 ]
机构
[1] Zealand Univ Hosp, Dept Clin Immunol, Ringstedgade 77B, DK-4100 Koge, Naetstved, Denmark
[2] Univ Copenhagen, Dept Clin Med, Copenhagen, Denmark
[3] Copenhagen Univ Hosp, Dept Clin Immunol, Copenhagen, Denmark
[4] Aarhus Univ Hosp, Dept Clin Immunol, Aarhus, Denmark
[5] Aarhus Univ, Danish Big Data Ctr Environm & Hlth BERTHA, Roskilde, Denmark
[6] Statens Serum Inst, Infect Dis Preparedness, Copenhagen, Denmark
[7] Statens Serum Inst, Dept Epidemiol Res, Copenhagen, Denmark
[8] Copenhagen Univ Hosp, Dept Hematol, Rigshosp, Copenhagen, Denmark
关键词
COVID-19; infection fatality rate; epidemiology; SARS-Cov-2 antibody test; SARS-CoV-2; seroprevalence; SEROPREVALENCE; ANTIBODIES;
D O I
10.1093/cid/ciaa1627
中图分类号
R392 [医学免疫学]; Q939.91 [免疫学];
学科分类号
100102 ;
摘要
Background. Although the vast majority of individuals succumbing to infection with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) are elderly, infection fatality rate (IFR) estimates for the age group >= 70 years are still scarce. To this end, we assessed SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence among retired blood donors and combined it with national coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) survey data to provide reliable population-based IFR estimates for this age group. Methods. We identified 60 926 retired blood donors aged >= 70 years in the rosters of 3 regionwide Danish blood banks and invited them to fill in a questionnaire on COVID-19-related symptoms and behaviors. Among 24 861 (40.8%) responders, we invited a random sample of 3200 individuals for blood testing. Overall, 1201 (37.5%) individuals were tested for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies (Wantai) and compared with 1110 active blood donors aged 17-69 years. Seroprevalence 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were adjusted for assay sensitivity and specificity. Results. Among retired (aged >= 70 years) and active (aged 17-69 years) blood donors, adjusted seroprevalences were 1.4% (95% CI,.3-2.5%) and 2.5% (95% CI, 1.3-3.8%), respectively. Using available population data on COVID-19-related fatalities, IFRs for patients aged >= 70 years and for 17-69 years were estimated at 5.4% (95% CI, 2.7-6.4%) and.083% (95% CI,.054-.18%), respectively. Only 52.4% of SARS-CoV-2-seropositive retired blood donors reported having been sick since the start of the pandemic. Conclusions. COVID-19 IFR in the age group >69 years is estimated to be 65 times the IFR for people aged 18-69 years.
引用
收藏
页码:E2962 / E2969
页数:8
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