A simple model to account for regional inequalities in the effectiveness of solar radiation management

被引:81
作者
Moreno-Cruz, Juan B. [1 ,2 ]
Ricke, Katharine L. [3 ]
Keith, David W. [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Calgary, Dept Econ, Calgary, AB T2N 1N4, Canada
[2] Univ Calgary, Energy & Environm Syst Grp, Inst Sustainable Energy Environm & Econ, Calgary, AB T2N 1N4, Canada
[3] Carnegie Mellon Univ, Dept Engn & Publ Policy, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA
基金
美国国家科学基金会; 美国安德鲁·梅隆基金会;
关键词
Climate change - Climate models - Decision making;
D O I
10.1007/s10584-011-0103-z
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
We present a simple model to account for the potential effectiveness of solar radiation management (SRM) in compensating for anthropogenic climate change. This method provides a parsimonious way to account for regional inequality in the assessment of SRM effectiveness and allows policy and decision makers to examine the linear climate response to different SRM configurations. To illustrate how the model works, we use data from an ensemble of modeling experiments conducted with a general circulation model (GCM). We find that an SRM scheme optimized to restore population-weighted temperature changes to their baseline compensates for 99% of these changes while an SRM scheme optimized for population-weighted precipitation changes compensates for 97% of these changes. Hence, while inequalities in the effectiveness of SRM are important, they may not be as severe as it is often assumed.
引用
收藏
页码:649 / 668
页数:20
相关论文
共 17 条
[1]  
[Anonymous], CLIM STAB TARG EM CO
[2]   Fast versus slow response in climate change: implications for the global hydrological cycle [J].
Bala, Govindasamy ;
Caldeira, K. ;
Nemani, R. .
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2010, 35 (2-3) :423-434
[3]   Geoengineering as an optimization problem [J].
Ban-Weiss, George A. ;
Caldeira, Ken .
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2010, 5 (03)
[4]  
Blackstock J.J., 2009, CLIMATE ENG RESPONSE
[5]   The Politics of Geoengineering [J].
Blackstock, Jason J. ;
Long, Jane C. S. .
SCIENCE, 2010, 327 (5965) :527-527
[6]   Global and Arctic climate engineering: numerical model studies [J].
Caldeira, Ken ;
Wood, Lowell .
PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY A-MATHEMATICAL PHYSICAL AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES, 2008, 366 (1882) :4039-4056
[7]  
Forster P, 2007, AR4 CLIMATE CHANGE 2007: THE PHYSICAL SCIENCE BASIS, P129
[8]   Evaluating uncertainties in the prediction of regional climate change [J].
Giorgi, F ;
Francisco, R .
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2000, 27 (09) :1295-1298
[9]   Research on global sun block needed now [J].
Keith, David W. ;
Parson, Edward ;
Morgan, M. Granger .
NATURE, 2010, 463 (7280) :426-427
[10]  
Nakicenovic N., 2000, IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES)