Estimation of global sensitivity indices for models with dependent variables

被引:235
作者
Kucherenko, S. [1 ,2 ]
Tarantola, S. [2 ]
Annoni, P. [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, London SW7 2AZ, England
[2] European Commiss, Joint Res Ctr, I-21027 Ispra, VA, Italy
基金
英国工程与自然科学研究理事会;
关键词
Global sensitivity analysis; Correlated inputs; Gaussian copula; Quasi Monte Carlo methods; Sobol' sensitivity indices; Sobol' sequences; MATHEMATICAL-MODELS; UNCERTAINTY;
D O I
10.1016/j.cpc.2011.12.020
中图分类号
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号
081203 ; 0835 ;
摘要
A novel approach for estimation variance-based sensitivity indices for models with dependent variables is presented. Both the first order and total sensitivity indices are derived as generalizations of Sobol' sensitivity indices. Formulas and Monte Carlo numerical estimates similar to Sobol' formulas are derived. A copula-based approach is proposed for sampling from arbitrary multivariate probability distributions. A good agreement between analytical and numerical values of the first order and total indices for considered test cases is obtained. The behavior of sensitivity indices depends on the relative predominance of interactions and correlations. The method is shown to be efficient and general. C) 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:937 / 946
页数:10
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