The Effect of Monetary and Fiscal Credibility on Exchange Rate Pass-Through in an Emerging Economy

This study relates to the literature on the exchange rate pass-through effect on inflation for developing economies under inflation targeting. The novelty concerns the investigation of the effect of both monetary and fiscal credibility on pass-through. The article addresses empirical evidence, based on the Brazilian experience, regarding the idea that high credibility might reduce the exchange rate pass-through on inflation. The findings suggest that although monetary credibility is relevant only for pass-through on inflation of market prices, fiscal credibility is an important tool to reduce the pass-through on both inflation and inflation expectations.