A roadmap to using randomization in clinical trials

被引:70
作者
Berger, Vance W. [1 ]
Bour, Louis Joseph [2 ]
Carter, Kerstine [3 ]
Chipman, Jonathan J. [4 ,5 ]
Everett, Colin C. [6 ]
Heussen, Nicole [7 ,8 ]
Hewitt, Catherine [9 ]
Hilgers, Ralf-Dieter [7 ]
Luo, Yuqun Abigail [10 ]
Renteria, Jone [11 ,12 ,13 ]
Ryeznik, Yevgen [14 ]
Sverdlov, Oleksandr [15 ]
Uschner, Diane [16 ,17 ]
机构
[1] NIH, Bldg 10, Bethesda, MD 20892 USA
[2] Boehringer Ingelheim Pharma GmbH & Co KG, Biberach, Germany
[3] Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceut Inc, 90 E Ridge POB 368, Ridgefield, CT 06877 USA
[4] Univ Utah, Sch Med, Populat Hlth Sci, Salt Lake City, UT USA
[5] Univ Utah, Huntsman Canc Inst, Canc Biostat, Salt Lake City, UT USA
[6] Univ Leeds, Clin Trials Res Unit, Leeds, W Yorkshire, England
[7] Rhein Westfal TH Aachen, Aachen, Germany
[8] Sigmund Freud Univ, Med Sch, Vienna, Austria
[9] Univ York, Dept Hlth Sci, York Trials Unit, York, N Yorkshire, England
[10] US FDA, Silver Spring, MD USA
[11] Open Univ Catalonia UOC, Barcelona, Spain
[12] Univ Barcelona UB, Barcelona, Spain
[13] Univ Maryland, Dept Human Dev & Quantitat Methodol, College Pk, MD 20742 USA
[14] AstraZeneca, R&D BioPharmaceut, BioPharma Early Biometr & Stat Innovat, Data Sci & AI, Gothenburg, Sweden
[15] Novartis Pharmaceut, Early Dev Analyt, E Hanover, NJ 07936 USA
[16] George Washington Univ, Biostat Ctr, Washington, DC USA
[17] George Washington Univ, Dept Biostat & Bioinformat, Washington, DC USA
关键词
Balance; Randomization-based test; Restricted randomization design; Validity; PERMUTED BLOCK DESIGN; BIASED COIN DESIGNS; SELECTION BIAS; TREATMENT ALLOCATION; ADAPTIVE RANDOMIZATION; URN RANDOMIZATION; TEST DECISIONS; TESTS; IMPACT; MINIMIZATION;
D O I
10.1186/s12874-021-01303-z
中图分类号
R19 [保健组织与事业(卫生事业管理)];
学科分类号
摘要
Background Randomization is the foundation of any clinical trial involving treatment comparison. It helps mitigate selection bias, promotes similarity of treatment groups with respect to important known and unknown confounders, and contributes to the validity of statistical tests. Various restricted randomization procedures with different probabilistic structures and different statistical properties are available. The goal of this paper is to present a systematic roadmap for the choice and application of a restricted randomization procedure in a clinical trial. Methods We survey available restricted randomization procedures for sequential allocation of subjects in a randomized, comparative, parallel group clinical trial with equal (1:1) allocation. We explore statistical properties of these procedures, including balance/randomness tradeoff, type I error rate and power. We perform head-to-head comparisons of different procedures through simulation under various experimental scenarios, including cases when common model assumptions are violated. We also provide some real-life clinical trial examples to illustrate the thinking process for selecting a randomization procedure for implementation in practice. Results Restricted randomization procedures targeting 1:1 allocation vary in the degree of balance/randomness they induce, and more importantly, they vary in terms of validity and efficiency of statistical inference when common model assumptions are violated (e.g. when outcomes are affected by a linear time trend; measurement error distribution is misspecified; or selection bias is introduced in the experiment). Some procedures are more robust than others. Covariate-adjusted analysis may be essential to ensure validity of the results. Special considerations are required when selecting a randomization procedure for a clinical trial with very small sample size. Conclusions The choice of randomization design, data analytic technique (parametric or nonparametric), and analysis strategy (randomization-based or population model-based) are all very important considerations. Randomization-based tests are robust and valid alternatives to likelihood-based tests and should be considered more frequently by clinical investigators.
引用
收藏
页数:24
相关论文
共 113 条
[1]   THE HIDDEN EFFECT OF TIME [J].
ALTMAN, DG ;
ROYSTON, JP .
STATISTICS IN MEDICINE, 1988, 7 (06) :629-637
[2]  
Altman DG, 1999, BRIT MED J, V318, P1209
[3]  
[Anonymous], 1948, Br Med J, V2, P769
[4]  
[Anonymous], 1998, STAT PRINCIPLES CLIN
[5]  
[Anonymous], 2011, INT J PERSON CENTERE
[6]  
[Anonymous], 1935, DESIGN EXPT
[7]  
[Anonymous], 1989, Statist. Sci., DOI DOI 10.1214/SS/1177012384
[8]   A new 'biased coin design' for the sequential allocation of two treatments [J].
Antognini, AB ;
Giovagnoli, A .
JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY SERIES C-APPLIED STATISTICS, 2004, 53 :651-664
[9]   Exact optimum coin bias in Efron's randomization procedure [J].
Antognini, Alessandro Baldi ;
Rosenberger, William F. ;
Wang, Yang ;
Zagoraiou, Maroussa .
STATISTICS IN MEDICINE, 2015, 34 (28) :3760-3768
[10]   OPTIMUM BIASED COIN DESIGNS FOR SEQUENTIAL CLINICAL-TRIALS WITH PROGNOSTIC FACTORS [J].
ATKINSON, AC .
BIOMETRIKA, 1982, 69 (01) :61-67