Mixed Poisson Traffic Rate Network Tomography

We extend network tomography to traffic flows that are not necessarily Poisson random processes. This assumption has governed the field since its inception in 1996 by Y. Vardi. We allow the distribution of the packet count of each traffic flow in a given time interval to be a mixture of Poisson random variables. Both discrete as well as continuous mixtures are studied. For the latter case, we focus on mixed Poisson distributions with Gamma mixing distribution. As is well known, this mixed Poisson distribution is the negative binomial distribution. Other mixing distributions, such as Wald or the inverse Gaussian distribution can be used. Mixture distributions are overdispersed with variance larger than the mean. Thus, they are more suitable for Internet traffic than the Poisson model. We develop a secondorder moment matching approach for estimating the mean traffic rate for each source-destination pair using least squares and the minimum I-divergence iterative procedure. We demonstrate the performance of the proposed approach by several numerical examples. The results show that the averaged normalized mean squared error in rate estimation is of the same order as in the classic Poisson based network tomography. Furthermore, no degradation in performance was observed when traffic rates are Poisson but Poisson mixtures are assumed.