Network percolation reveals adaptive bridges of the mobility network response to COVID-19

被引:15
作者
Deng, Hengfang [1 ]
Du, Jing [2 ]
Gao, Jianxi [3 ,4 ]
Wang, Qi [1 ]
机构
[1] Northeastern Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Boston, MA 02115 USA
[2] Univ Florida, Dept Civil & Coastal Engn, Gainesville, FL USA
[3] Rensselaer Polytech Inst, Dept Comp Sci, Troy, NY 12180 USA
[4] Rensselaer Polytech Inst, Ctr Network Sci & Technol, Troy, NY 12180 USA
来源
PLOS ONE | 2021年 / 16卷 / 11期
基金
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
EPIDEMIC; SPREAD; OUTBREAKS; PATTERNS;
D O I
10.1371/journal.pone.0258868
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Human mobility is crucial to understand the transmission pattern of COVID-19 on spatially embedded geographic networks. This pattern seems unpredictable, and the propagation appears unstoppable, resulting in over 350,000 death tolls in the U.S. by the end of 2020. Here, we create the spatiotemporal inter-county mobility network using 10 TB (Terabytes) trajectory data of 30 million smart devices in the U.S. in the first six months of 2020. We investigate the bond percolation process by removing the weakly connected edges. As we increase the threshold, the mobility network nodes become less interconnected and thus experience surprisingly abrupt phase transitions. Despite the complex behaviors of the mobility network, we devised a novel approach to identify a small, manageable set of recurrent critical bridges, connecting the giant component and the second-largest component. These adaptive links, located across the United States, played a key role as valves connecting components in divisions and regions during the pandemic. Beyond, our numerical results unveil that network characteristics determine the critical thresholds and the bridge locations. The findings provide new insights into managing and controlling the connectivity of mobility networks during unprecedented disruptions. The work can also potentially offer practical future infectious diseases both globally and locally.
引用
收藏
页数:18
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