Three-year course of clinical symptomatology in young people at ultra high risk for transition to psychosis

Objective: The investigation into the course of ultra high risk (UHR) symptomatology of those patients who eventually do not meet the psychosis-threshold criteria within the 3-year timeframe of the study. Method: The course of UHR symptoms, GAF score and employment status was investigated in 57 patients who did not make a transition to psychosis and who were examined within the Dutch Prediction of Psychosis Study in Amsterdam, the Netherlands. Results: At the 3- year follow-up, 75% of the patients who did not make a transition to psychosis had remitted from UHR status. With a Generalized Estimation Equation Model it was shown that this group recovered from positive (F = 52.7, P < 0.0001), negative (F = 24.3, P < 0.0001), disorganization (F = 14.4, P < 0.0001) and general symptoms (F = 25.0, P < 0.0001) within the timeframe of the study. In addition, the level of global functioning and likelihood of having a job and/or education significantly improved. The largest improvements occurred within the first year. UHR symptoms did not re-occur after improvement. Conclusion: With the current UHR criteria, a large percentage of the included subjects appear to have transitory complaints and dysfunctioning. A refinement of the UHR criteria may diminish the chance of including 'false positives' in future UHR studies.