Appraisal of the prevalence of severe tropical storms over Indian Ocean by screening the features of tropical depressions

被引：16

作者：

Chaudhuri, Sutapa ^{[1
]}

Middey, Anirban ^{[1
]}

Goswami, Sayantika ^{[1
]}

Banerjee, Soumita ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Calcutta, Dept Atmospher Sci, Kolkata 700019, India

来源：

NATURAL HAZARDS | 2012年 / 61卷 / 02期

关键词：

Tropical depressions; Tropical storms; Rough set theory; Maximum sustained wind speed; Minimum sea level pressure; Radius of maximum winds; CYCLONE; INTENSITY; GENESIS; IMPACT; MODEL;

D O I：

10.1007/s11069-011-0068-2

中图分类号：

P [天文学、地球科学];

学科分类号：

07 ;

摘要：

Tropical cyclones are one of the nature's most violent manifestations and potentially the deadliest of all meteorological phenomena. It is a unique combination of violent wind, heavy rainfall, and mountainous waves in sea. The maximum sustained wind speed, minimum sea level pressure, and the radius of maximum winds are important parameters for understanding a particular tropical cyclone and to differentiate it from a depression to tropical storms. The objective of this particular paper is to identify a possible range of maximum sustained wind speed, minimum sea level pressure, and radius of maximum winds which facilitates tropical depressions to lead to tropical storms over Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea of Indian Ocean basin. The method of rough set theory which is based on condition-decision support system is implemented for the purpose. The result reveals that the threshold ranges of the maximum sustained wind speed, minimum sea level pressure and radius of maximum winds associated with tropical depression are possible that can aid in the predictability of tropical storm over Indian Ocean. The results are validated with significant tropical storms of 2009 and 2010 observations through Doppler and satellite imageries.

引用

页码：745 / 756

页数：12

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