Effects of COVID-19 on cryptocurrency and emerging market connectedness: Empirical evidence from quantile, frequency, and lasso networks

被引:39
作者
Balcilar, Mehmet [1 ,2 ]
Ozdemir, Huseyin [1 ]
Agan, Busra [1 ]
机构
[1] Eastern Mediterranean Univ, Via Mersin 10, North Cyprus, Turkey
[2] OSTIM Tech Univ, Ankara, Turkey
关键词
Volatility connectedness; Network analysis; Emerging equity markets; Cryptocurrency; COVID-19; outbreak; IMPULSE-RESPONSE ANALYSIS; VOLATILITY SPILLOVERS; STOCK MARKETS; BITCOIN; GARCH; GOLD; DIVERSIFICATION; TRANSMISSION; PERSISTENCE; DYNAMICS;
D O I
10.1016/j.physa.2022.127885
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
We use time and frequency connectedness approaches based on network analysis to investigate the volatility connectedness among 27 emerging equity markets and seven high-capitalized cryptocurrencies. We estimate the network connectedness using the standard, quantile, frequency, and lasso VAR models for the pre- and post-COVID-19 pandemic periods and daily data over the period from October 2, 2017 to May 20, 2022. The network connectedness estimates based on the several models used in this study indicate a growing risk spillover among and within the emerging market equities and the cryptocurrencies after the COVID-19 pandemic hit the world. The frequency connectedness analysis shows that cryptocurrencies cannot be used as diversifiers for emerging stock markets in both the short and long-run. The empirical findings from the quantile VAR model reveal that the volatility connectedness in the tails is much stronger compared to the center of the distribution. It is also evident that Saudi Arabia, Thailand's stock markets, and USDT are the main risk transmitters at the 0.95-th quantile during the post-COVID period. Time-varying connectedness estimates confirm the substantial effect of COVID-19. Our study also shows that the spread of risk among these financial markets is global rather than regional, supporting cross-border structure and worldwide financial market integration. The findings suggest cryptocurrency and emerging market equity portfolios should be closely monitored during financial turmoil.(c) 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页数:26
相关论文
共 138 条
[1]   Volatility persistence in cryptocurrency markets under structural breaks [J].
Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins ;
Gil-Alana, Luis Alberiko ;
Madigu, Godfrey ;
Romero-Rojo, Fatima .
INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF ECONOMICS & FINANCE, 2020, 69 :680-691
[2]   Stock market reactions to upside and downside volatility of Bitcoin: A quantile analysis [J].
Ahmed, Walid M. A. .
NORTH AMERICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE, 2021, 57
[3]   Cryptocurrencies and stock market indices. Are they related? [J].
Alberiko Gil-Alana, Luis ;
Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins ;
Romero Rojo, Maria Fatima .
RESEARCH IN INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS AND FINANCE, 2020, 51
[4]   A Systematic Literature Review of Volatility and Risk Management on Cryptocurrency Investment: A Methodological Point of View [J].
Almeida, Jose ;
Goncalves, Tiago Cruz .
RISKS, 2022, 10 (05)
[5]  
Ando T., 2018, Quantile connectedness: Modelling tail behaviour in the topology of financial networks
[6]   Information Flow between Global Equities and Cryptocurrencies: A VMD-Based Entropy Evaluating Shocks from COVID-19 Pandemic [J].
Asafo-Adjei, Emmanuel ;
Owusu Junior, Peterson ;
Adam, Anokye M. .
COMPLEXITY, 2021, 2021
[7]   The Unprecedented Stock Market Reaction to COVID-19 [J].
Baker, Scott R. ;
Bloom, Nicholas ;
Davis, Steven J. ;
Kost, Kyle ;
Sammon, Marco ;
Viratyosin, Tasaneeya .
REVIEW OF ASSET PRICING STUDIES, 2020, 10 (04) :742-758
[8]   Measuring the Frequency Dynamics of Financial Connectedness and Systemic Risk [J].
Barunik, Jozef ;
Krehlik, Tomas .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMETRICS, 2018, 16 (02) :271-296
[9]   Emerging and advanced economies markets behaviour during the COVID-19 crisis era [J].
Belaid, Fateh ;
Ben Amar, Amine ;
Goutte, Stephane ;
Guesmi, Khaled .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS, 2023, 28 (02) :1563-1581
[10]   Covid-19 impact on cryptocurrencies: Evidence from a wavelet-based Hurst exponent [J].
Belen Arouxet, M. ;
Bariviera, Aurelio F. ;
Pastor, Veronica E. ;
Vampa, Victoria .
PHYSICA A-STATISTICAL MECHANICS AND ITS APPLICATIONS, 2022, 596