Ecological-Economic Model of the Region: Information Technology, Forecasting and Optimal Control

被引：6

作者：

Gurman, V. ^{[2
]}

Baturin, V. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] RAS, SB, Inst Syst Dynam & Control Theory, Irkutsk, Russia

[2] RAS, Program Syst Inst, Pereslavl Zalesskii, Russia

来源：

MATHEMATICAL MODELLING OF NATURAL PHENOMENA | 2009年 / 4卷 / 05期

基金：

俄罗斯基础研究基金会;

关键词：

ecological-economic processes; mathematical modelling; information support; regional systems; forecasting; optimal control;

D O I：

10.1051/mmnp/20094510

中图分类号：

Q [生物科学];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

The paper considers a methodology of mathematical modeling of ecological-economic processes at the regional level. The basis of the model is formed by equations, which describe two interacting blocks: economic and ecological ones. Equations of the economic block are represented by relations of generalized inter-branch balance, while the ecological part is described in terms of differential equations with deviations with respect to some given state of natural resources. Issues of i) information support of the model, ii) techniques used for identification of the coefficients, iii) scenario analysis and iv) forecasting are analyzed.

引用

页码：144 / 157

页数：14