EARLY DETECTION OF HURRICANES ORIGIN IN OCEANS WITH REMOTE SENSING METHODS AND INFORMATION MODELING TECHNOLOGIES

The combination of microwave remote sensing methods and information modeling technologies proved to be an effective way of problems solution in early detection of tropical cyclone origin. In this work, an analysis of different approaches to the solution of this problem was completed One of approaches consists in the search of indicator-precursors calculated from the data of existing environmental monitoring systems 1 Conclusion was made that it is necessary to develop the ocean-atmosphere system (OAS) instability model and to introduce some generalized parameter - the OAS Instability Indicator to check transition processes between different OAS states during tropical cyclone development. The indicator was evaluated at the base of data obtained from the TAO/TRITON&PIRATA system of anchored buoys and other meteorological stations located in the tropical zone of the World's oceans 2. The methodological resume was made that independently on the theory or method used, the data of regular longterm microwave radiometric and other satellite measurements must be certainly involved into analysis of dynamics of geophysical parameters of ocean-atmosphere system in zones of the tropical hurricanes beginning.