A multiphase contrast-enhanced CT radiomics model for prediction of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 status in advanced gastric cancer

Background: Accurate evaluation of human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status is of great importance for appropriate management of advanced gastric cancer (AGC) patients. This study aims to develop and validate a CT-based radiomics model for prediction of HER2 overexpression in AGC. Materials and Methods: Seven hundred and forty-five consecutive AGC patients (median age, 59 years; interquartile range, 52-66 years; 515 male and 230 female) were enrolled and separated into training set (n = 521) and testing set (n = 224) in this retrospective study. Radiomics features were extracted from three phases images of contrast-enhanced CT scans. A radiomics signature was built based on highly reproducible features using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method. Univariable and multivariable logistical regression analysis were used to establish predictive model with independent risk factors of HER2 overexpression. The predictive performance of radiomics model was assessed in the training and testing sets. Results: The positive rate of HER2 was 15.9% and 13.8% in the training set and testing set, respectively. The positive rate of HER2 in intestinal-type GC was significantly higher than that in diffuse-type GC. The radiomics signature comprised eight robust features demonstrated good discrimination ability for HER2 overexpression in the training set (AUC = 0.84) and the testing set (AUC = 0.78). A radiomics-based model that incorporated radiomics signature and pathological type showed good discrimination and calibration in the training (AUC = 0.85) and testing (AUC = 0.84) sets. Conclusion: The proposed radiomics model showed favorable accuracy for prediction of HER2 overexpression in AGC.