A Bayesian analysis of fluid flow in pipe-lines

被引:14
|
作者
Rougier, J [1 ]
Goldstein, M [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Durham, Dept Math Sci, Durham DH1 3LE, England
关键词
dynamic linear model; random field; realtime leak detection; waterhammer;
D O I
10.1111/1467-9876.00221
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
The waterhammer equations are a pair of partial differential equations that describe the behaviour of an incompressible fluid in a pipe-line. We generalize these equations to account for uncertainty in the description of the liquid and the pipe-line, the behaviour of the boundaries of the pipe-line and the method of solution. We illustrate applications of our model to pipe-line design and to realtime pipe-line monitoring, e.g. for detecting leaks, and discuss the general features of our approach to the careful sourcing of uncertainty in deterministic models.
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页码:77 / 93
页数:17
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