Making the whole greater than the sum of its parts: A literature review of ensemble methods for financial time series forecasting

被引:8
作者
Albuquerque, Pedro Henrique Melo [1 ]
Peng, Yaohao [1 ]
Silva, Joao Pedro Fontoura da [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Brasilia, Machine Learning Lab Finance & Org LAMFO, Dept Adm, Campus Darcy Ribeiro, Brasilia, DF, Brazil
关键词
bagging; boosting; financial econometrics; forecasting aggregation; stability; time series forecasting; STOCK RETURN PREDICTABILITY; BOOSTING ALGORITHMS; ASSET RETURNS; MODEL; PREDICTION; COMBINATION; REGRESSION; PERFORMANCE; BOOTSTRAP; ERROR;
D O I
10.1002/for.2894
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper discusses the application of ensemble techniques for the prediction of time series, presenting an in-depth review of the main techniques and algorithms used by the recent literature, with emphasis on the bootstrap aggregation (bagging) and boosting approaches. We also discuss the theoretical foundations of the ensemble-based models, presenting measures of model stability and the main aggregation methods to combine the forecasts of the individual models, as well as recommendations for future developments for related research agendas.
引用
收藏
页码:1701 / 1724
页数:24
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