Potential Impact of Climate Change on Fish Reproductive Phenology: A Case Study in Gonochoric and Hermaphrodite Commercially Important Species from the Southern Gulf of Mexico

In tropical regions, temperature is the fundamental environmental factor controlling the reproduction-related physiological activities of fish. Tropical fish are particularly sensitive to climate change since they develop in a relatively stable thermal environment. A review was done to assess the potential effect of temperature rise on reproduction and population structure in the commercially important hermaphrodite grouper and wrasse species, and in gonochoric snapper species in the southern Gulf of Mexico. Temperature increase can disturb the aromatase synthesis and/or activity, which can affect the reproductive cycle and sexual differentiation in all studied species and the sexual inversion process in sequential hermaphrodites. Moreover, a mistiming or discontinuity in spawning seasonality could occur, with an alteration in the sex ratio in favor of males and a consequent reduction in populations' fecundity. Furthermore, if the level of fishing exploitation enhances species' sensitivity to environmental changes, then the stock of red grouper Epinephelus morio would be more affected by temperature increases than other species because it is the only fish population in the Campeche Bank currently assessed as overexploited.