SARS-CoV-2 virulence evolution: Avirulence theory, immunity and trade-offs

被引:25
作者
Alizon, Samuel [1 ]
Sofonea, Mircea T. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Montpellier, CNRS, MIVEGEC, IRD, Montpellier, France
关键词
epidemiology; genomics; immune escape; immunopathology; maladaptation; trade-off; virus; INFECTION; DISEASE; HOST; TRANSMISSION; COEVOLUTION; DYNAMICS; HISTORY; MODEL;
D O I
10.1111/jeb.13896
中图分类号
Q14 [生态学(生物生态学)];
学科分类号
071012 ; 0713 ;
摘要
The COVID-19 pandemic has led to a resurgence of the debate on whether host-parasite interactions should evolve towards avirulence. In this review, we first show that SARS-CoV-2 virulence is evolving, before explaining why some expect the mortality caused by the epidemic to converge towards that of human seasonal alphacoronaviruses. Leaning on existing theory, we then include viral evolution into the picture and discuss hypotheses explaining why the virulence has increased since the beginning of the pandemic. Finally, we mention some potential scenarios for the future.
引用
收藏
页码:1867 / 1877
页数:11
相关论文
共 90 条
[41]   Detecting Rapid Spread of SARS- CoV-2 Variants, France, January 26-February 16, 2021 [J].
Haim-Boukobza, Stephanie ;
Roquebert, Benedicte ;
Trombert-Paolantoni, Sabine ;
Lecorche, Emmanuel ;
Verdurme, Laura ;
Foulongne, Vincent ;
Selinger, Christian ;
Michalakis, Yannis ;
Sofonea, Mircea T. ;
Alizon, Samuel .
EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 2021, 27 (05) :1496-1499
[42]   Mechanisms of SARS-CoV-2 Transmission and Pathogenesis [J].
Harrison, Andrew G. ;
Lin, Tao ;
Wang, Penghua .
TRENDS IN IMMUNOLOGY, 2020, 41 (12) :1100-1115
[43]   Temporal dynamics in viral shedding and transmissibility of COVID-19 [J].
He, Xi ;
Lau, Eric H. Y. ;
Wu, Peng ;
Deng, Xilong ;
Wang, Jian ;
Hao, Xinxin ;
Lau, Yiu Chung ;
Wong, Jessica Y. ;
Guan, Yujuan ;
Tan, Xinghua ;
Mo, Xiaoneng ;
Chen, Yanqing ;
Liao, Baolin ;
Chen, Weilie ;
Hu, Fengyu ;
Zhang, Qing ;
Zhong, Mingqiu ;
Wu, Yanrong ;
Zhao, Lingzhai ;
Zhang, Fuchun ;
Cowling, Benjamin J. ;
Li, Fang ;
Leung, Gabriel M. .
NATURE MEDICINE, 2020, 26 (05) :672-675
[44]   Estimating the effectiveness of routine asymptomatic PCR testing at different frequencies for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 infections [J].
Hellewell, Joel ;
Russell, Timothy W. ;
Beale, Rupert ;
Kelly, Gavin ;
Houlihan, Catherine ;
Nastouli, Eleni ;
Kucharski, Adam J. .
BMC MEDICINE, 2021, 19 (01)
[45]   SARS-CoV-2 variants B.1.351 and P.1 escape from neutralizing antibodies [J].
Hoffmann, Markus ;
Arora, Prerna ;
Gross, Rudiger ;
Seidel, Alina ;
Hornich, Bojan F. ;
Hahn, Alexander S. ;
Kruger, Nadine ;
Graichen, Luise ;
Hofmann-Winkler, Heike ;
Kempf, Amy ;
Winkler, Martin S. ;
Schulz, Sebastian ;
Jack, Hans-Martin ;
Jahrsdorfer, Bernd ;
Schrezenmeier, Hubert ;
Muller, Martin ;
Kleger, Alexander ;
Munch, Jan ;
Pohlmann, Stefan .
CELL, 2021, 184 (09) :2384-+
[46]  
ISENBERG H D, 1988, Clinical Microbiology Reviews, V1, P40
[47]   Coevolution of virulence and immunosuppression in multiple infections [J].
Kamiya, Tsukushi ;
Mideo, Nicole ;
Alizon, Samuel .
JOURNAL OF EVOLUTIONARY BIOLOGY, 2018, 31 (07) :995-1005
[48]   Monitor for COVID-19 vaccine resistance evolution during clinical trials [J].
Kennedy, David A. ;
Read, Andrew F. .
PLOS BIOLOGY, 2020, 18 (11)
[49]   Tracking Changes in SARS-CoV-2 Spike: Evidence that D614G Increases Infectivity of the COVID-19 Virus [J].
Korber, Bette ;
Fischer, Will M. ;
Gnanakaran, Sandrasegaram ;
Yoon, Hyejin ;
Theiler, James ;
Abfalterer, Werner ;
Hengartner, Nick ;
Giorgi, Elena E. ;
Bhattacharya, Tanmoy ;
Foley, Brian ;
Hastie, Kathryn M. ;
Parker, Matthew D. ;
Partridge, David G. ;
Evans, Cariad M. ;
Freeman, Timothy M. ;
de Silva, Thushan, I ;
McDanal, Charlene ;
Perez, Lautaro G. ;
Tang, Haili ;
Moon-Walker, Alex ;
Whelan, Sean P. ;
LaBranche, Celia C. ;
Saphire, Erica O. ;
Montefiori, David C. .
CELL, 2020, 182 (04) :812-+
[50]  
Latif A.A., 2021, OUTBREAK INFO LINEAG