An impact analysis of arc length on orbit prediction and clock estimation for PPP ambiguity resolution

Real-time precise orbit and clock products are crucial for real-time high-precision precise point positioning (PPP). The key for precise orbit prediction is to precisely determine the initial conditions (satellite position, velocity at the initial epoch) and the solar radiation pressure (SRP) parameters using an arc of known precise orbits. The optimal arc length will be investigated for precise orbit prediction, with which the high-accuracy satellite clocks can be estimated. The orbit prediction accuracies with different arc lengths and conditions over time are also investigated. The results indicate that the predicted orbit accuracy is governed by the SRP parameters. In addition, the predicted orbits and estimated clocks are evaluated quantitatively with respect to PPP solutions during in and out of eclipses seasons, based on which the optimal arc length is identified. The numerical results show that high-accuracy orbital prediction can be achieved using an arc length between 36 and 48 h and generally an arc length of 42 h is considered to be optimal. With this optimal arc length, the estimated clock accuracy is 0.048 and 0.122 ns for a prediction interval of 6 and 24 h, respectively. The average PPP ambiguity fix-rates with a prediction interval of 6 h are 80.2 and 84.7 % over an observation period of 30 min and 1 h, respectively.