MODELLING EPIDEMIC DISEASES

被引：1

作者：

Gani, J. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Australian Natl Univ, Inst Math Sci, Canberra, ACT 0200, Australia

来源：

AUSTRALIAN & NEW ZEALAND JOURNAL OF STATISTICS | 2010年 / 52卷 / 03期

关键词：

epidemic model; general epidemic; herd immunity; influenza; plague; smallpox; vaccination; A-PRIORI PATHOMETRY; STOCHASTIC EPIDEMIC; MATHEMATICAL-THEORY; PROBABILITIES; ENDEMICITY;

D O I：

10.1111/j.1467-842X.2010.00586_1.x

中图分类号：

O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];

学科分类号：

020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;

摘要：

P>This paper traces the development of mathematical models for epidemics from the 18th century to the present day. The models are shown to be of use in predicting and controlling the spread of infection.

引用

页码：321 / 329

页数：9

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