The scenario analysis approach as a tool for decision-makers

被引：0

作者：

Zgurovsky, M ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Natl Tech Univ Ukraine, Kiev Polytech Inst, Kiev, Ukraine

来源：

International Conference on Politics and Information Systems: Technologies and Applications, Vol 1: INFORMATICS AND SOCIETY | 2004年

关键词：

scenario analysis; foresight; process; decision-making; qualitative analysis; strategic planning; experts estimation; system analysis;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

TP39 [计算机的应用];

学科分类号：

081203 ; 0835 ;

摘要：

A new approach to construction of scenarios of future events in different spheres of human activity by using the methodology of qualitative and system analysis is considered. The most efficient methods of qualitative analysis are suggested and recommendations on their practical applications are given. The proposed approach is used for scenario construction of innovative development of large enterprises, separate branches of industry and formation of the society policy.

引用

页码：339 / 344

页数：6