Speculation or hedging?-Options trading prior to FOMC announcements

被引:3
|
作者
Jiang, George J. [1 ]
Pan, Guanzhong [2 ]
机构
[1] Washington State Univ, Dept Finance & Management Sci, Carson Coll Business, Pullman, WA 99164 USA
[2] Yunnan Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Finance, Kunming, Yunnan, Peoples R China
关键词
FOMC announcement; hedging; option trading; speculation; IMPLIED VOLATILITY; PRICE DISCOVERY; INFORMATION; VOLUME;
D O I
10.1002/fut.22277
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
This paper investigates options trading activity before Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcements. We find evidence that informed traders use options to speculate on their private information for the upcoming FOMC announcements. Specifically, abnormal trading volume of call options on S&P 500 index during the preannouncement window positively predicts postannouncement index returns, and this predictability mainly comes from near-the-money call options. Moreover, we further break down trading volume based on the direction of trades and show that buyer-initiated call option trading volume positively predicts postannouncement index returns. We find no evidence that investors use options to hedge postannouncement market uncertainty.
引用
收藏
页码:212 / 230
页数:19
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] Hedging pressure and speculation in commodity markets
    Ivar Ekeland
    Delphine Lautier
    Bertrand Villeneuve
    Economic Theory, 2019, 68 : 83 - 123
  • [32] Economic policy uncertainty and options market participation: Hedge or speculation?
    Wang, Chunfeng
    Li, Tong
    Sensoy, Ahmet
    Cheng, Feiyang
    Fang, Zhenming
    BORSA ISTANBUL REVIEW, 2024, 24 : 50 - 59
  • [33] Hedging pressure and speculation in commodity markets
    Ekeland, Ivar
    Lautier, Delphine
    Villeneuve, Bertrand
    ECONOMIC THEORY, 2019, 68 (01) : 83 - 123
  • [34] Short-term options: Clienteles, market segmentation, and event trading
    Chatrath, Arjun
    Christie-David, Rohan A.
    Miao, Hong
    Ramchander, Sanjay
    JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 2015, 61 : 237 - 250
  • [35] The effect of option transaction costs on informed trading in the options market around earnings announcements
    Govindaraj, Suresh
    Li, Yubin
    Zhao, Chen
    JOURNAL OF BUSINESS FINANCE & ACCOUNTING, 2020, 47 (5-6) : 615 - 644
  • [36] The Impact of Monetary Policy on REITs: Evidence from FOMC Announcements
    Rosa, Carlo
    JOURNAL OF REAL ESTATE FINANCE AND ECONOMICS, 2024,
  • [37] Liquidity provisions by individual investor trading prior to dividend announcements: Evidence from Taiwan
    Chen, Zhijuan
    Lin, William T.
    Ma, Changfeng
    Tsai, Shih-Chuan
    NORTH AMERICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE, 2014, 28 : 358 - 374
  • [38] Does FOMC news increase global FX trading?
    Fischer, Andreas M.
    Ranaldo, Angelo
    JOURNAL OF BANKING & FINANCE, 2011, 35 (11) : 2965 - 2973
  • [39] Hedging cryptocurrency options
    Jovanka Lili Matic
    Natalie Packham
    Wolfgang Karl Härdle
    Review of Derivatives Research, 2023, 26 : 91 - 133
  • [40] Hedging cryptocurrency options
    Matic, Jovanka Lili
    Packham, Natalie
    Haerdle, Wolfgang Karl
    REVIEW OF DERIVATIVES RESEARCH, 2023, 26 (01) : 91 - 133