Speculation or hedging?-Options trading prior to FOMC announcements

被引:3
|
作者
Jiang, George J. [1 ]
Pan, Guanzhong [2 ]
机构
[1] Washington State Univ, Dept Finance & Management Sci, Carson Coll Business, Pullman, WA 99164 USA
[2] Yunnan Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Finance, Kunming, Yunnan, Peoples R China
关键词
FOMC announcement; hedging; option trading; speculation; IMPLIED VOLATILITY; PRICE DISCOVERY; INFORMATION; VOLUME;
D O I
10.1002/fut.22277
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
This paper investigates options trading activity before Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcements. We find evidence that informed traders use options to speculate on their private information for the upcoming FOMC announcements. Specifically, abnormal trading volume of call options on S&P 500 index during the preannouncement window positively predicts postannouncement index returns, and this predictability mainly comes from near-the-money call options. Moreover, we further break down trading volume based on the direction of trades and show that buyer-initiated call option trading volume positively predicts postannouncement index returns. We find no evidence that investors use options to hedge postannouncement market uncertainty.
引用
收藏
页码:212 / 230
页数:19
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