Delphi: A brief look backward and forward

被引:313
作者
Linstone, Harold A. [1 ]
Turoff, Murray [2 ]
机构
[1] Portland State Univ, Portland, OR 97207 USA
[2] New Jersey Inst Technol, Newark, NJ 07102 USA
关键词
Delphi; Social networks; Participative planning; Communities of practice; Policy Delphi; Delphi conferencing;
D O I
10.1016/j.techfore.2010.09.011
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
In response to a request by the guest editors, we have set down our thoughts regarding the evolution of Delphi, beginning with our immersion in the subject in the late 1960s and concluding with some rumination about its future. Our focus is on the changing roles of Delphi. Most importantly, with the profound impact of the internet on organizational and community planning systems, it will foster a new age of participation through communication, coordination, and collaboration. (C) 2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1712 / 1719
页数:8
相关论文
共 37 条
[1]  
Allison Graham, 1971, Essence of decision
[2]  
Explaining the Cuban Missile Crises
[3]  
[Anonymous], 2010, NY TIMES 0817, pD
[4]  
[Anonymous], 1993, NETWORK NATION HUMAN
[5]  
[Anonymous], 2010, NY TIMES 0824
[6]  
[Anonymous], 1999, P2982 RAND, P286
[7]  
[Anonymous], 2002, The Delphi Method
[8]  
Bafiuls V.A., P ISCRAM 2010 SEATTL
[9]  
Churchman C.W., 1971, The design of inquiring systems
[10]  
Coates J.F., 2010, TECHNOLOGICAL FORECA, V77