A Bayesian analysis of the 69 highest energy cosmic rays detected by the Pierre Auger Observatory

被引:4
作者
Khanin, Alexander [1 ]
Mortlock, Daniel J. [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Imperial Coll London, Astrophys Grp, Blackett Lab, Prince Consort Rd, London SW7 2AZ, England
[2] Imperial Coll London, Dept Math, London SW7 2AZ, England
关键词
methods: statistical; cosmic rays; ACTIVE GALACTIC NUCLEI; ARRIVAL DIRECTIONS; SPECTRUM; ANISOTROPY; CENTAURUS; SEARCH; ARRAY;
D O I
10.1093/mnras/stw1165
中图分类号
P1 [天文学];
学科分类号
0704 ;
摘要
The origins of ultrahigh energy cosmic rays (UHECRs) remain an open question. Several attempts have been made to cross-correlate the arrival directions of the UHECRs with catalogues of potential sources, but no definite conclusion has been reached. We report a Bayesian analysis of the 69 events, from the Pierre Auger Observatory (PAO), that aims to determine the fraction of the UHECRs that originate from known AGNs in the Veron-Cety & Verson (VCV) catalogue, as well as AGNs detected with the Swift Burst Alert Telescope (Swift-BAT), galaxies from the 2MASS Redshift Survey (2MRS), and an additional volume-limited sample of 17 nearby AGNs. The study makes use of a multilevel Bayesian model of UHECR injection, propagation and detection. We find that for reasonable ranges of prior parameters the Bayes factors disfavour a purely isotropic model. For fiducial values of the model parameters, we report 68 per cent credible intervals for the fraction of source originating UHECRs of ="TM0001" 0.09<^>{+0.05}_{-0.04}, ="TM0002" 0.25<^>{+0.09}_{-0.08}, ="TM0003" 0.24<^>{+0.12}_{-0.10}, and ="TM0004" 0.08<^>{+0.04}_{-0.03} for the VCV, Swift-BAT and 2MRS catalogues, and the sample of 17 AGNs, respectively.
引用
收藏
页码:2765 / 2778
页数:14
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