A stochastic simulation model was developed to carry out the first quantitative risk exposure assessment of the mycotoxin level in cow's milk produced in Argentina. The prevalence and concentration of aflatoxin M1 (AFM1), deoxynivalenol (DON) and zearalenone (ZEA) were modeled at various stages through milk processes complying with Argentinean practices. Concentration of AFM1 (0.059 ppb), DON (0.338 ppb) and ZEA (0.125 ppb) in dairy milk were estimated. The proportion of feed samples that exceeded the maximum level accepted by European regulations for AFB1, DON and ZEA were estimated at 25.07%, 0.0% and 8.9%, respectively. The percentage of milk samples that exceeded the maximum level accepted for AFB1 by the MERCOSUR (0.5 ppb) and the European Union regulations (0.05 ppb) were 0.81 and 32.65, respectively. The probability distribution of AFM1 concentration in milk was affected by the carry-over rate equations applied in the model. Mycotoxin levels in corn silage and concentrated feeds were the factors most correlated with mycotoxin concentrations in milk. Therefore, agricultural practices, crop management and feed production require prompt attention regarding mycotoxin issues. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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Univ Med & Pharm Craiova, Pediat Dept, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, RomaniaUniv Med & Pharm Craiova, Pediat Dept, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, Romania
Puiu, Ileana
Bica, Elena Catalina
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Univ Med & Pharm Craiova, Pediat Dept, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, RomaniaUniv Med & Pharm Craiova, Pediat Dept, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, Romania
Bica, Elena Catalina
Dinescu, Venera Cristina
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Univ Med & Pharm Craiova, Hlth Promot & Occupat Med Dept, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, RomaniaUniv Med & Pharm Craiova, Pediat Dept, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, Romania
Dinescu, Venera Cristina
Rogoveanu, Otilia Constantina
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Univ Med & Pharm Craiova, Dept Phys & Rehabil Med, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, RomaniaUniv Med & Pharm Craiova, Pediat Dept, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, Romania
Rogoveanu, Otilia Constantina
Dan, Alexandra Oltea
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Univ Med & Pharm Craiova, Ophthalmol Dept, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, RomaniaUniv Med & Pharm Craiova, Pediat Dept, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, Romania
Dan, Alexandra Oltea
Vasile, Ramona Constantina
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Univ Med & Pharm Craiova, Epidemiol & Primary Hlth Care Dept, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, RomaniaUniv Med & Pharm Craiova, Pediat Dept, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, Romania
Vasile, Ramona Constantina
Dinescu, Sorin Nicolae
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Univ Med & Pharm Craiova, Epidemiol & Primary Hlth Care Dept, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, RomaniaUniv Med & Pharm Craiova, Pediat Dept, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, Romania
Dinescu, Sorin Nicolae
Romanescu, Florin Marius
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Univ Med & Pharm Craiova, Dept Physiol, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, RomaniaUniv Med & Pharm Craiova, Pediat Dept, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, Romania
Romanescu, Florin Marius
Tartea, Elena Anca
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Univ Med & Pharm Craiova, Neurol Dept, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, RomaniaUniv Med & Pharm Craiova, Pediat Dept, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, Romania
Tartea, Elena Anca
Tudorascu, Diana Rodica
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Univ Med & Pharm Craiova, Internal Med Dept, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, RomaniaUniv Med & Pharm Craiova, Pediat Dept, 2 Petru Rares Str, Craiova 200349, Romania