Probability-based assessment of dam safety using combined risk analysis and reliability methods - application to hazards studies

被引:32
作者
Peyras, Laurent [1 ]
Carvajal, Claudio [2 ]
Felix, Huguette [1 ]
Bacconnet, Claude [3 ]
Royet, Paul [1 ]
Becue, Jean-Pierre [2 ]
Boissier, Daniel [3 ]
机构
[1] Unit Rech Ouvrages Hydraul, Irstea, Aix En Provence, France
[2] Safege Ingn Conseils, Engn & Consulting Agcy, Nanterre, France
[3] Univ Clermont Ferrand, LaMI, Polytech Clermont Ferrand, Aubiere, France
关键词
dam; reliability; risk analysis; security; hazards study;
D O I
10.1080/19648189.2012.672200
中图分类号
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号
0813 ;
摘要
Dam safety assessment is a major challenge for engineers specialising in hydraulic works. It is now standardised in regulations providing for hazards studies using probability-based risk analysis procedures. Dam safety probability-based assessment includes two key scientific issues: the modelling of complex mechanisms that occur within the works, and a probability-based assessment of structural safety. This paper introduces a combined application of risk analysis and dam reliability methodologies. This combination required the completion of our work on the adaptation of risk analysis methods to dams, and on the probability-based modelling of strength and loading input data for a reliability-based analysis. These methodologies are then implemented as part of a hazards study on a roller-compacted-concrete gravity dam.
引用
收藏
页码:795 / 817
页数:23
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