Prospect Theory in the Heterogeneous Agent Model

被引:7
作者
Polach, Jan [1 ]
Kukacka, Jiri [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Moodys Analyt UK Ltd, One Canada Sq, London E14 5FA, England
[2] Charles Univ Prague, Fac Social Sci, Inst Econ Studies, Opletalova 26, Prague 11000 1, Czech Republic
[3] Czech Acad Sci, Inst Informat Theory & Automat, Vodarenskou Vezi 4, Prague 18200 8, Czech Republic
关键词
Heterogeneous Agent Model; Prospect Theory; Behavioral finance; Stylized facts; EXPECTATIONS; DISPOSITION; MARKETS;
D O I
10.1007/s11403-018-0219-6
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Using the Heterogeneous Agent Model framework, we incorporate an extension based on Prospect Theory into a popular agent-based asset pricing model. This extension covers the phenomenon of loss aversion manifested in risk aversion and asymmetric treatment of gains and losses. Using Monte Carlo methods, we investigate behavior and statistical properties of the extended model and assess how our extension is manifested in different strategies. We show that, on the one hand, the Prospect Theory extension keeps the essential underlying mechanics of the model intact, but on the other hand it considerably changes the model dynamics. Stability of the model is increased and fundamentalists may be able to survive in the market more easily. When only the fundamentalists are loss-averse, other strategies profit more.
引用
收藏
页码:147 / 174
页数:28
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] Prospect theory based method for heterogeneous group decision making with hybrid truth degrees of alternative comparisons
    Wan, Shu-Ping
    Zou, Wenchang
    Dong, Jiu-Ying
    COMPUTERS & INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING, 2020, 141
  • [42] Consensus building in multiperson decision making with heterogeneous preference representation structures: A perspective based on prospect theory
    Dong, Yucheng
    Luo, Nan
    Liang, Haiming
    APPLIED SOFT COMPUTING, 2015, 35 : 898 - 910
  • [43] Thirty Years of Prospect Theory in Economics: A Review and Assessment
    Barberis, Nicholas C.
    JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC PERSPECTIVES, 2013, 27 (01) : 173 - 195
  • [44] MARKET STATISTICS OF A PSYCHOLOGY-BASED HETEROGENEOUS AGENT MODEL
    Lamba, Harbir
    Seaman, Tim
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL AND APPLIED FINANCE, 2008, 11 (07) : 717 - 737
  • [45] Testing Prospect Theory Parameters
    Balaz, Vladimir
    Bacova, Viera
    Drobna, Eva
    Dudekova, Katarina
    Adamik, Kamil
    EKONOMICKY CASOPIS, 2013, 61 (07): : 655 - 671
  • [46] Deterrence, compellence, and prospect theory
    Schaub, G
    POLITICAL PSYCHOLOGY, 2004, 25 (03) : 389 - 411
  • [47] Prospect theory for continuous distributions
    Rieger, Marc Oliver
    Wang, Mei
    JOURNAL OF RISK AND UNCERTAINTY, 2008, 36 (01) : 83 - 102
  • [48] A genuine foundation for prospect theory
    Ulrich Schmidt
    Horst Zank
    Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2012, 45 : 97 - 113
  • [49] Prospect theory and asset allocation
    Fortin, Ines
    Hlouskova, Jaroslava
    QUARTERLY REVIEW OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE, 2024, 94 : 214 - 240
  • [50] Prospect Theory and market quality
    Pasquariello, Paolo
    JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC THEORY, 2014, 149 : 276 - 310