Spillovers from conditional cash transfer programs: Bolsa Familia and crime in urban Brazil

被引:44
作者
Chioda, Laura [1 ]
De Mello, Joao M. P. [2 ]
Soares, Rodrigo R. [3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] World Bank, 1818 H St NW, Washington, DC 20433 USA
[2] Insper, Rua Quata 300, BR-04546042 Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
[3] Sao Paulo Sch Econ FGV, Rua Itapeva 474, BR-01332000 Sao Paulo, Brazil
[4] IZA, Rua Itapeva 474, BR-01332000 Sao Paulo, Brazil
关键词
Conditional cash transfer; Bolsa Familia; Crime; Education; Schooling; Brazil; JUVENILE CRIME; VIOLENT CRIME; RATES; INCAPACITATION; INEQUALITY; EDUCATION; WELFARE; SCHOOLS; IMPACT; AGE;
D O I
10.1016/j.econedurev.2015.04.005
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper investigates the impact of conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs on crime. Making use of a unique dataset combining detailed school characteristics with geo-referenced crime information from the city of Sao Paulo, Brazil, we estimate the contemporaneous effect of the Bolsa Familia program on crime. We address the endogeneity of CCT coverage by exploiting the 2008 expansion of the program to adolescents aged 16 and 17. We construct an instrument that combines the timing of expansion with the initial demographic composition of schools to identify plausibly exogenous variation in the number of children covered by Bolsa Familia. We find a robust and significant negative impact of Bolsa Familia on. crime. Incapacitation from time spent in school does not seem to be an important driving force behind the results. (C) 2015 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
引用
收藏
页码:306 / 320
页数:15
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