Does mitigation save? Reviewing cost-benefit analyses of disaster risk reduction

被引:154
作者
Shreve, C. M. [1 ]
Kelman, I. [2 ,3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Northumbria Univ, TACTIC Tools Methods & Training Communities & Soc, Newcastle Upon Tyne NE1 8ST, Tyne & Wear, England
[2] UCL, Inst Risk & Disaster Reduct, London WC1E 6BT, England
[3] UCL, Inst Global Hlth, London WC1E 6BT, England
[4] Norwegian Inst Int Affairs NUPI, Oslo, Norway
关键词
Natural disasters; Risk management; Ecosystems; CBA; DRR; NATURAL HAZARD MITIGATION; MANAGEMENT;
D O I
10.1016/j.ijdrr.2014.08.004
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
The benefit-cost-ratio (BCR), used in cost-bene tit analysis (CBA), is an indicator that attempts to summarize the overall value for money of a project. Disaster costs continue to rise and the demand has increased to demonstrate the economic benefit of disaster risk reduction (DRR) to policy makers. This study compiles and compares original CBA case studies reporting DRR BCRs, without restrictions as to hazard type, location, scale, or other parameters. Many results were identified supporting the economic effectiveness of DRR, however, key limitations were identified, including a lack of: sensitivity analyses, meta-analyses which critique the literature, consideration of climate change, evaluation of the duration of benefits, broader consideration of the process of vulnerability, and potential disbenefits of DRR measures. The studies demonstrate the importance of context for each BCR result. Recommendations are made regarding minimum criteria to consider when conducting DRR CBAs. (C) 2014 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
引用
收藏
页码:213 / 235
页数:23
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