The Future Burden of Colorectal Cancer Among US Blacks and Whites

被引:12
作者
Araghi, Marzieh [1 ]
Fidler, Miranda M. [1 ]
Arnold, Melina [1 ]
Jemal, Ahmedin [2 ]
Bray, Freddie [1 ]
Soerjomataram, Isabelle [1 ]
机构
[1] Int Agcy Res Canc, Sect Canc Surveillance, 150 Cours Albert Thomas, F-69372 Lyon 08, France
[2] Amer Canc Soc, Surveillance Res, Atlanta, GA 30329 USA
来源
JNCI-JOURNAL OF THE NATIONAL CANCER INSTITUTE | 2018年 / 110卷 / 07期
关键词
TRENDS;
D O I
10.1093/jnci/djx287
中图分类号
R73 [肿瘤学];
学科分类号
100214 ;
摘要
Although overall colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence rates in the United States are declining, rates among younger persons (age < 55 years) are increasing, particularly among US whites. We assessed how these trends will impact the future burden (up to 2040) of CRC among US blacks and whites using an age-period-cohort model. Over the last four decades (1973 to 2014), CRC incidence rates for all ages (both sexes) have dropped by 6.6% and 33.9% in US blacks and whites, respectively. Yet we predict an upward turn in CRC cancer incidence rates over the next quarter century, particularly among US whites. The age standardized rates of CRC were 55.4 and 43.2 per 100 000 among US blacks and whites in 2014, respectively, and are projected to be 49.5 and 43.1 in 2040, respectively. Future interventions are needed to reduce the striking differences in CRC incidence between blacks and whites.
引用
收藏
页码:791 / 793
页数:3
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