Dynamics of a stochastic SIS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rates

被引:39
作者
Gao, Ning [1 ]
Song, Yi [1 ]
Wang, Xinzeng [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Liu, Jianxin [4 ]
机构
[1] Shandong Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Math & Syst Sci, Qingdao, Peoples R China
[2] Shandong Univ Sci & Technol, State Key Lab Min Disaster Prevent & Control Cofo, Qingdao, Peoples R China
[3] Shandong Univ Sci & Technol, Minist Sci & Technol, Qingdao, Peoples R China
[4] Qufu Normal Univ, Sch Math Sci, Qufu, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Stochastic SIS epidemic model; Nonlinear incidence rate; Extinction; Permanence in mean; 37H10; 60H10; 92C60; 92D30; STATIONARY DISTRIBUTION; GLOBAL ANALYSIS; NUMERICAL SIMULATIONS; MATHEMATICAL-THEORY; BEHAVIOR; DISEASE; PREY; VACCINATION; PERSISTENCE; EXTINCTION;
D O I
10.1186/s13662-019-1980-0
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
In this paper, considering the impact of stochastic environment noise on infection rate, a stochastic SIS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate is proposed and analyzed. Firstly, for the corresponding deterministic system, the threshold which determines the extinction or permanence of the disease is obtained by analyzing the stability of the equilibria. Then, for the stochastic system, the global dynamics is investigated by using the theory of stochastic differential equations; especially the threshold dynamics is explored when the stochastic environment noise is small. The results show that the condition for the epidemic disease to go to extinction in the stochastic system is weaker than that of the deterministic system, which implies that stochastic noise has a significant impact on the spread of infectious diseases and the larger stochastic noise is conducive to controlling the epidemic diseases. To illustrate this phenomenon, we give some computer simulations with different intensities of the stochastic noise.
引用
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页数:19
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